TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,272,670
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,931,931

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,272,670 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,928 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6754…e3bcbacked No30c661,657$198,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198,497.2415456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes70c250,000$175,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,000.069142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4761…5ae8backed No29c232,585$67,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,449.653040%12 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No32c155,498$49,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,993.8614542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes70c154,283$107,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,561.758,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No28c150,754$42,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,726.7224441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Yes71c149,999$106,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,499.7915249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ce…16ecbacked Yes70c141,342$98,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,402.581233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No36c140,571$51,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,003.674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Yes74c111,110$81,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,151.3738333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86d2…731dbacked No29c106,461$30,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,873.787343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed No30c100,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00022348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes59c96,386$56,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,715.881,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No32c85,123$27,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,368.052,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes71c84,496$59,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,630.8179231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes71c78,217$55,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,885.562,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed No57c76,272$43,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,474.995839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes71c71,686$50,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,788.9220844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes46c65,329$30,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,267.4666846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b2c…d7e6backed Yes79c65,000$51,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,5002045%9 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked No29c59,143$17,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,4434252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Yes51c58,703$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,703.2214248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes70c51,018$35,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,305.3913959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a66…dcc2backed Yes63c47,802$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,802.27244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked No30c40,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,0007050%35 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed No30c40,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,999.9417949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No31c40,000$12,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,379.7127039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes69c38,801$26,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,994.9833337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes73c38,028$27,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,391.142043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed No30c37,999$11,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,399.843154.8%17 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+26.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No30c34,961$10,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,465.613,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…d87cbacked No15c33,040$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002532%8 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid+35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes46c32,738$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,738.0911645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e3a…5f61backed Yes70c32,525$22,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,757.451560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No10c29,171$2,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,971.1556541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No1c26,606$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.0642541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No29c26,541$7,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,679.329952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes62c25,878$15,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,903.477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Yes70c24,200$16,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2601172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes70c24,000$16,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2004353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed No2c23,582$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.097025.7%18 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-54.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes72c21,012$15,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,883.9149441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x620c…4baebacked Yes70c20,000$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0002867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes69c20,000$13,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,2001,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc0…a531backed Yes79c18,331$14,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,781.24666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed No28c17,828$4,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,915.266929%20 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Yes70c17,766$12,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,275.919253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes70c16,512$11,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,953.5418047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes68c15,330$10,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,905.516647%78 W · 88 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c4d…a427backed Yes72c14,932$10,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,211.573644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa698…db5ebacked Yes70c14,706$10,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,411.787962%49 W · 30 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9912…5d4abacked Yes70c14,286$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,285.713063.3%19 W · 11 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No18c14,267$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.1930117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb242…4312backed No15c13,948$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.273818.4%7 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+58.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed No34c13,781$4,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,685.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6758…07b9backed Yes76c13,681$10,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,235.691457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x882f…a8c0backed No11c12,994$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.385366%35 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Yes65c12,667$8,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,375.8634845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa398…6c83backed Yes70c12,645$8,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,793.382437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No30c12,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes69c11,396$7,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,538.9244524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes77c11,343$8,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,563.5139933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x239d…0f3fbacked Yes70c11,312$7,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,393.571070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Yes70c11,110$7,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,332.9912325.2%31 W · 92 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes48c11,049$5,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,697.7685550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a2e…5f5dbacked No30c11,035$3,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,310.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+111.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Yes70c10,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00013259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.9813331.6%42 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x227c…9133backed Yes72c9,208$6,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.333154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38d0…5d22backed Yes67c9,154$6,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,020.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes77c9,130$7,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,094.7315844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec1f…dcfebacked Yes71c9,100$6,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,638.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd585…9c06backed No29c9,099$2,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,638.7130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes70c9,037$6,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.961,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Yes72c8,900$6,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4925350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fae…4079backed No29c8,630$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,502.76833.8%23 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf6d…9f2abacked Yes71c8,550$6,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.86536.9%24 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Yes43c8,526$3,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,854.3734964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xf366…15adbacked Yes64c8,308$5,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,014.5713943.2%60 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bf…366abacked Yes71c7,789$5,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,258.684938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No29c7,720$2,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,238.82,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e4…07b1backed Yes39c7,692$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,692.3118343.7%80 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Yes70c7,500$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25016957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No39c7,461$2,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,875.2693542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Yes72c7,426$5,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.2414055.7%78 W · 62 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes71c7,340$5,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.434247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Yes71c7,042$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.257448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Yes75c6,917$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.3621738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9e3…706fbacked Yes71c6,761$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.564667.4%31 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No43c6,642$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,839.542,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Yes70c6,601$4,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.4322749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No17c6,563$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.7828133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c7c…0ec9backed No15c6,530$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.123528.6%10 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes72c6,130$4,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.297972.2%57 W · 22 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Yes63c6,074$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,274.1237955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb465…0d8dbacked Yes69c6,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840498.2%4 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-60.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes66c6,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.9918465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3077…6b45backed Yes67c5,927$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.371346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes56c5,922$3,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,625.692,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes54c5,901$3,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,715.274,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.