TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,692,209
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,435,459

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,692,209 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed No75c388,633$292,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,298.3874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa235…34bbbacked Yes20c250,000$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,0002524%6 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked No80c240,000$192,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,00015456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Yes32c220,898$70,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,0004151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes22c156,390$33,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,861.658,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No71c144,820$103,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,345.52,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes21c82,919$17,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,408.132,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No76c75,944$57,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,564.471,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No77c75,628$58,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,541.341,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Yes30c62,336$18,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,967.7138333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes19c52,715$10,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,01519332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No80c48,401$38,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,680.2915950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e4…07b1backed Yes33c45,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00018343.7%80 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes24c33,693$8,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,156.4442541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b2c…d7e6backed Yes16c27,500$4,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4502045%9 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bf…f74bbacked Yes12c25,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9006334.9%22 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8227…013dbacked Yes44c21,551$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,5006328.6%18 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-50.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Yes20c20,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes18c19,934$3,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,588.122,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes2c19,384$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.84953.2%3 W · 92 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No68c18,890$12,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,966.0424441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Yes21c18,554$3,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,896.348845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2458…df0ebacked Yes37c17,370$6,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,370.488425%21 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes0c16,884$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.391468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee17…6ea1backed Yes18c16,667$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68d2…d067backed No52c15,853$8,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,668.05933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52bf…3e9fbacked Yes0c14,420$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.423262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0838…63b1backed Yes23c13,786$3,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,171.251435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda19…c13bbacked Yes15c13,333$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002313%3 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Yes12c12,846$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4906943.5%30 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes9c12,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05015127.8%42 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Yes11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1003327.3%9 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9912…5d4abacked Yes1c9,674$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003063.3%19 W · 11 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes19c9,166$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.292,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No74c9,080$6,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.7333337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1685…6de4backed Yes39c8,974$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50027239%106 W · 166 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No80c8,579$6,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.836250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes20c8,500$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7004,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No74c8,090$6,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.882,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7fb…eca8backed Yes37c8,088$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,01010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes21c7,698$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6003441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Yes11c7,457$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.3114725.9%38 W · 109 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5cc…0540backed Yes2c7,400$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.21540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed Yes11c7,357$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003528.6%10 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes18c6,943$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.0238734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb909…c20bbacked Yes39c6,779$2,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,617.317445.9%34 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Yes50c6,600$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30020262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce4…b4a2backed Yes11c6,353$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.6830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbda1…827fbacked Yes19c6,255$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.423721.6%8 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes19c6,012$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.813,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No80c6,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20022451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes19c5,833$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10015930.8%49 W · 110 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes15c5,805$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.679231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes25c5,700$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.54544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef33…6be3backed Yes18c5,556$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009232.6%30 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x180a…54a6backed Yes20c5,370$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0742040%8 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+69.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes31c5,311$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.2693542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…e6febacked Yes16c5,129$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80011526.1%30 W · 85 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd49a…6f4cbacked Yes40c5,050$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb143…f649backed Yes12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009242.4%39 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7528…4e36backed Yes20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006743.3%29 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked No77c4,962$3,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.7766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6592…2767backed Yes14c4,929$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70013718.2%25 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No80c4,800$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96037850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc31a…bfb2backed Yes7c4,749$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.878320.5%17 W · 66 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes18c4,615$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.931,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No80c4,530$3,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.5331945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Yes16c4,503$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.4215929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9625…5bb7backed Yes44c4,478$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.23742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes18c4,338$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.3565835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No80c4,200$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84038351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes14c4,133$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.245528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb933…ab68backed Yes24c4,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9604727.7%13 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Yes13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc7e…489fbacked Yes16c3,733$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014837.8%56 W · 92 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No80c3,600$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72035251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5a…a7b7backed Yes19c3,511$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667267.7%2 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-80%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Yes20c3,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70014637.7%55 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a44…d2a4backed Yes13c3,462$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-47.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes12c3,364$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.734,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ccc…77abbacked Yes24c3,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004650%23 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Yes20c3,125$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6253420.6%7 W · 27 L-6.0wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-55.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes16c3,075$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.9648526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e41…cbabbacked Yes50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Yes17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51015128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Yes42c2,913$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.839144%40 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a25…b124backed Yes18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005018%9 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007846.2%36 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes19c2,673$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50535621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes17c2,545$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.7225244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No80c2,532$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.3747144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80c0…9519backed Yes20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005420.4%11 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8046…6ea0backed Yes20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008723%20 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes12c2,475$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29756410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed No80c2,400$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48044144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4838…3535backed Yes41c2,298$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.12433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55a8…7245backed Yes22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008725.3%22 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes14c2,200$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31330117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Yes40c2,177$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.8413237.1%49 W · 83 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.