TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf77e…b594

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
189
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT953.2%3 W · 92 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$542.41
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.71
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.03
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.93
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+3,536.4%+$15,559.99
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.8
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.97
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$182
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.9
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$243
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.61
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+2,281%+$4,789.99
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.71
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.07
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.4
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT515.9%3 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick2cpaid+188.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.83
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+4,185.7%+$586
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.99
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.44
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.36
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.46
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.7
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.78
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.17
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+3,900%+$7,799.99
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.74
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Cavaliers vs. Rocketsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$26.57
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$18.3
Pistons vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$36.62
Knicks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Pelicans vs. Cavaliersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Pistons vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$38.96
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20.83
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Flames vs. Oilersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick2cpaid+2,042.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+4,185.7%+$2,930
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.