TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,373 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x88a2…d974backed Yes33c12,121$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0009636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No68c8,154$5,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,609.4121154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes9c7,016$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.431,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No67c7,000$4,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,309.9724146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c6,704$5,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.086,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes32c6,598$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.081,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9942…f1abbacked Yes2c5,005$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.09616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick3cpaid+95.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9811838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes0c4,598$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2625329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes1c4,000$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444425%11 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3273…5a11backed Yes13c3,805$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes31c3,419$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0605127.5%14 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9220448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes32c2,578$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.961,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes32c2,050$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65668026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64010050%50 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66015748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Yes32c1,875$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes1c1,600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1270%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes32c1,580$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.5214147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Yes13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003823.7%9 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+34.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c97…874abacked Yes2c1,500$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7910733.6%36 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d31…75d9backed Yes7c1,500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No68c1,096$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.595276.9%40 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No68c1,071$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.588670.9%61 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed No67c1,053$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.394065%26 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No68c1,040$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.810159.4%60 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes20c900$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18023531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No68c807.67$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.4540953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No68c755.5$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.5439156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked No69c720.5$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.58958.4%52 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0acd…ea40backed No69c700$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+85.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No68c601$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.021,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9a18…d4c3backed Yes31c509.95$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.09650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No67c499.98$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.999246.7%43 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb574…4872backed Yes24c469.74$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1153138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No69c469.41$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5629458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed No69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12416453.7%88 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.657972.2%57 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes31c359$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2972249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ad1…6d88backed No69c356.52$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.521957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010345.6%47 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005518.2%10 W · 45 L-9.5wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9932453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed No67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996546.2%30 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes5c298.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7742324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked No69c260.87$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.875162.7%32 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c77…12babacked Yes31c249.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes32c249.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9318929.1%55 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No68c210$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.215764.3%101 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…c2bdbacked Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1987…01d9backed Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3852…f0bbbacked Yes31c190$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ed…0cedbacked No69c190$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+65.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe132…7a38backed Yes32c187.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes14c165$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.134251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb939…ed05backed No68c161.76$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.76666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd353…1566backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506533.8%22 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No69c144$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6445751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7d4…962dbacked No70c143$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6563…5025backed No69c140$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.41250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Yes31c136$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.164751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256627.3%18 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9256…e520backed Yes31c130$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5263…3050backed No69c130$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x857b…8eeebacked Yes17c123.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217429.7%22 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2baa…e6dbbacked No69c120$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b3…c36cbacked No69c110$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Yes33c106.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358847.7%42 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011828%33 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110726.2%28 W · 79 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e69…bebebacked Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123315.2%5 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3311952.9%63 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c90…272cbacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d69…beecbacked Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307936.7%29 W · 50 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e56…62d5backed No69c90$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No78c85.84$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6211255.4%62 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda50…2a41backed Yes33c84.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No67c81.7$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6440157.6%231 W · 170 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98be…51d9backed Yes32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255637.5%21 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked No69c74$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.94966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bf…019fbacked No69c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-44.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes32c68.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+45.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa8e7…05c8backed Yes32c67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.441346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes32c65.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214440.9%18 W · 26 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+62.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019336.8%71 W · 122 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe598…e6f0backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.833057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No78c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1328070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x72f9…629abacked Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.61442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes31c55.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.239230.4%28 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.