TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb939…ed05

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 59 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT3857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.82
Spain leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.24
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
France leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.45
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.14
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.14
Spain leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.77
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
England to score first vs. Mexico?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
England leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
Portugal leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.82
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.98
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.92
Colombia leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.06
Spain leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$46.28
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.97
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.25
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.5
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76.76
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3863.2%24 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$77.59
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$843Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$657
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$45.86
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.28
76ers vs. Magicbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$33.89
Cavaliers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$54.02
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$95.5
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+61.3%+$37.62
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+58.7%+$49.04
Knicks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+42.9%+$54.43
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$48.3
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$29.65
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+49.3%+$23.16
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+40.8%+$100.28
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+72.4%+$11.11
Kings vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+47.1%+$21.9
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11.28
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST12100%12 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$36.56
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+35.1%+$22.1
Will Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+37%+$29.03
Will Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$32.54
Will Sporting CP vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21.27
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$15.65
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+35.1%+$55.16
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+53.8%+$11.04
Will AFC Ajax vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+35.1%+$56.42
Will AFC Ajax vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+33.3%+$11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+44.9%+$10.88
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+35.1%+$11.44
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Girona FC vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Valencia CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+44.9%+$46.19
Will Levante UD vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+40.8%+$27.16
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$29.5
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+31.6%+$20.68
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+29.9%+$50.78
Will Mallorca win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+44.9%+$19.32
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$20.73
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+28.2%+$10.72
Will Valencia vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$21.74
Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virtus Bologna vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$57.32
Partizan vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100.9
Fenerbahce vs. Barcelonabacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+61.3%+$109.1
Panathinaikos vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+25%+$17.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$57.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Browns vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$140.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.