Champions League · resolved market
Will Sporting CP vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb6f51d375160d40d77a5e6943274ff8cd37c32818270c1551538c00b48bf673
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4011…479cbacked Yes | 22c | 7,263$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 23c | 5,493$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.29 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 80c | 2,930$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.15 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 21c | 2,263$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.6 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed No | 78c | 1,930$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.6 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 22c | 1,770$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.15 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -9.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 1,600$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 79c | 1,199$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.19 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 1,148$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.34 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 78c | 630.58$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.74 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4500…e6e1backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x933a…d3c1backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 77c | 324$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…7c0ebacked No | 79c | 317.8$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 22c | 222$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 6c | 194.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…ed05backed No | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 40.3%116 W · 172 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d69…beecbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 79c | 88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed No | 78c | 73.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked Yes | 24c | 42.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 76c | 25.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…dd6bbacked No | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting CP vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-26?No won
- Will Sporting CP win on 2025-11-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.