TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac7f…361f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NFL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 60 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST4122%9 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UNLV Runnin' vs. Boise Statebacked UNLV Runnin' · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Troy vs. James Madisonbacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Notre Dame vs. Stanfordbacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Fresno State vs. San Jose Statebacked San Jose State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UNLV vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
SMU Mustangs vs. Californiabacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Arizona vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Indiana vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Georgia vs. Georgia Techbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Boise State vs. Utah Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
San Diego State vs. New Mexicobacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Temple vs. North Texasbacked Temple · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Air Force vs. Colorado Statebacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Ohio vs. Buffalobacked Buffalo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Utah vs. Kansasbacked Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Iowa vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Northern Illinoisbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+194.1%+$38.82
Navy vs. Memphisbacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+156.4%+$31.28
East Carolina vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Oklahoma State vs. UCFbacked Oklahoma State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$18.72
UL Monroe vs. Texas Statebacked UL Monroe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Jacksonville State vs. Florida Internationalbacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
USC vs. Oregonbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST2010%2 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-78%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sacramento State Hornets vs. Pacific Tigersbacked Sacramento State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Wright State Raiders vs. Butler Bulldogsbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Alcorn State Braves vs. Indiana State Sycamoresbacked Alcorn State Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+182.6%+$36.51
La Salle Explorers vs. Hofstra Pridebacked La Salle Explorers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cleveland State Vikings vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Cleveland State Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Robert Morris Colonialsbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Texas State Bobcats vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked Texas State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lionsbacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Northeastern Huskies vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Charlotte 49ers vs. Illinois State Redbirdsbacked Charlotte 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. East Carolina Piratesbacked East Carolina Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Maryland Terrapins vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Utah Utesbacked Utah Utes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+57.8%+$11.56
Utah Utes vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesbacked Utah Utes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Oregon Ducks vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15.51
UCLA Bruins vs. California Golden Bearsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$19.76
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$95
All 20 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-52.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Tearlaments (BO1)backed Tearlaments · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Execration (BO1)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG (BO1)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Heroic vs Execration (BO1)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Heroic vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tearlaments (BO1)backed Tearlaments · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keir Starmer say "Footing" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,822Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,821.87
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,232Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+84.1%+$1,035.7
U.S. withdraws from Syria before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.7
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.74
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,441.28
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,752Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+132.4%+$4,968.59
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,342Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$447.38
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,856Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$833.88
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,373.95
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$410.02
All 11 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Snowflake say "Repurchase" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Snowflake say "Retention" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Snowflake say "Partnership" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Snowflake say "Iceberg" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+450%+$90
Will Snowflake say "Hiring" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Deere (DE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will The J. M. Smucker (SJM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+700%+$70
Will Urban Outfitters (URBN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Autodesk (ADSK) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe (BO3)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs The Huns Esports (BO3)backed The Huns Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs FaZe (BO3)backed RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: NRG vs fnatic (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs NIP (BO3)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid+78.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+221.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+284.6%+$56.92
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+300%+$60
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-67.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+66.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Senators vs. Golden Knightsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+150%+$15
Flyers vs. Panthersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+150%+$15
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+30.7%+$23.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.