Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Utah Utes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x649d8b8c176447c13c2ac4a3e3771c0f74ff490e2dc974c7d01b99cf97d5fceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah Utesof Ole Miss Rebels, Utah Utes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Utah Utes | 73c | 2,501$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…e099backed Utah Utes | 75c | 1,858$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Utah Utes | 18c | 1,389$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.89 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa617…fba7backed Ole Miss Rebels | 1c | 1,339$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Ole Miss Rebels | 66c | 1,053$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Ole Miss Rebels | 37c | 921.24$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Utah Utes | 16c | 800$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…a5a9backed Ole Miss Rebels | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419c…4400backed Ole Miss Rebels | 70c | 635.94$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Utah Utes | 66c | 280$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah Utes | 18c | 238.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.9 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Ole Miss Rebels | 28c | 216.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Utah Utes | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah Utes | 52c | 197.44$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.18 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed Utah Utes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Utah Utes | 15c | 142.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.32 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Utah Utes | 59c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Utah Utes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Ole Miss Rebels | 31c | 94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Utah Utes | 59c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Ole Miss Rebels | 67c | 57.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked Utah Utes | 63c | 31.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -78%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…ca40backed Ole Miss Rebels | 79c | 26.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…81b2backed Ole Miss Rebels | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Ole Miss Rebels | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.