TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfbb6…25ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
553
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT22640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 226 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-5.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.35
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.14
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-6.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.48
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.06
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-11.5)backed VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-4.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$371.32
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-12.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.83
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-2.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.32
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5)backed Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-2.5)backed Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.03
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.89
Houston Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.24
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.64
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+109.2%+$449.23
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-3.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$900.15
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.69
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.65
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.5
Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$119.89
Spread: Clemson Tigers (-1.5)backed Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-13.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.32
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-6.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$192.75
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-15.5)backed UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 226 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT12944.2%57 W · 72 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 129 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,712Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,712.04
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.12
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.99
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+97%+$383.25
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.48
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$66
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$97.51
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$78.3
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$60.67
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$63.33
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$59.22
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$155.55
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$95.12
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.29
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$92.5
Showing 25 of 129 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT6541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.11
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.09
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.8
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$49.9
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$45.95
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100%+$99.9
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49.98
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Spread: Rockets (-13.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+100%+$49.04
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$90.05
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$75.3
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+116%+$115.96
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST4940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$196
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-12.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Spread: Boise State (-4.5)backed UNLV Runnin' · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Fresno State vs. San Jose State: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: UNLV (-7.5)backed Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-13.5)backed California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Spread: New Mexico State (-3.5)backed Middle Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
Western Kentucky vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Florida State vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Vanderbilt vs. Tennesseebacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+127.3%+$64.59
LSU vs. Oklahoma: O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Spread: Oregon (-7.5)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-7.5)backed UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Missouri (-3.5)backed Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Texas State (-9.5)backed South Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Florida International (-10.5)backed Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Clemson vs. South Carolinabacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+122.2%+$55
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Spread: Miami (-6.5)backed Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Kentucky vs. Louisvillebacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Arizona (-1.5)backed Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+103.2%+$96.01
Spread: Bowling (-14.5)backed Bowling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Georgia Tech (-2.5)backed Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$210
Spread: Lions (-3.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+108.3%+$270.83
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$206
Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$49.5
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Spread: Seahawks (-12.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Spread: Colts (-3.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Saints vs. Dolphinsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Chiefs vs. Cowboys: 1H O/U 26.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: 49ers (-7.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.75
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+177.8%+$62.22
Spread: Bills (-6.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Vikings (-3.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$67
Spread: Chargers (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$49.83
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$137.54
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.32
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Hurricanes vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$45.92
Islanders vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+116.8%+$76.4
Avalanche vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+108.5%+$184.4
Senators vs. Oilersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Red Wings vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200.38
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+91.2%+$182.38
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$96.75
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$148.8
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$127.2
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$82
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$88
Maple Leafs vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.75
Panthers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Golden Knights vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Oilers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.33
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+201.8%+$410.62
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.71
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.51
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.62
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.12
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.05
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$111.65
Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$47.36
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.47
Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.89
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$62.07
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+46.9%+$320.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+100%+$62.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$53.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.