MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb689520c8ea8f583f21327df7d9e45896be56072ea2c3fdf6e75ccdd84b2e5e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $561,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $565,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $561,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 33,438$15,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,265.06 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 23,315$10,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,042.3 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 22,217$10,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,527.83 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 16,000$10,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,070 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 12,207$7,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 11,753$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,713.56 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 10,189$6,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,520.83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 10,000$4,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,741.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 6c | 10,000$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.04 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 9,715$4,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,357.82 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 8,616$3,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.26 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 8,475$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 7,208$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.92 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 6,737$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 6,735$4,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,781.77 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 5,044$3,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.1 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 4,506$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.82 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Washington Nationals | 65c | 4,371$2,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.83 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 4,316$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.19 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 3,514$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.51 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 3,500$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 3,445$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.35 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 3,346$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.1 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…728fbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 3,188$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8707…8b15backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Washington Nationals | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 3,000$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.49 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 2,806$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.6 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 2,757$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 2,724$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.28 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 2,423$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 2,398$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.98 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 2,344$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 1c | 2,342$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 2,161$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.36 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 2,007$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.47 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 2,005$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.15 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 1,960$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 1,940$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.6 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 1,880$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.55 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 1,839$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.57 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 1,822$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,821$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.99 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 1,772$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.46 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 1,726$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.7 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 1,670$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.79 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,627$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 1,605$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.15 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 1,560$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.1 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 1,538$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.16 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 1,391$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,358$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.27 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 1,290$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.11 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 1,286$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.5 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 1,175$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.77 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc279…6465backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 1,142$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.48 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.08 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 1,078$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.33 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…27d8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 1c | 1,073$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.48 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 999.98$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 993.41$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.76 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 985.14$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.57 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 945.98$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.45 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 926.64$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.5 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 918.1$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.97 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 918$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.19 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 877.59$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.46 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 852.79$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.73 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…7d10backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 835.88$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.86 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 835.14$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.29 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 803.1$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.92 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d0…a6fcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 776.92$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 758.86$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.5 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Washington Nationals | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 639.97$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.78 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 628.33$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 625.95$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.82 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3428…3907backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 625$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 591$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.33 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 585.94$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Washington Nationals | 28c | 584.09$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.85 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 564.81$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.81 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 563.81$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.93 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 556$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.84 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…0ff4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 550$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 550$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4652…6343backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 525.59$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 514$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.26 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 506$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.7 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.