TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc279…6465

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 52.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7133.8%24 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.2
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.03
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.53
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.17
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.26
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.64
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.66
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$813.74
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$472.54
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.11
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.06
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$290.6
Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.15
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.99
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.15
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.54
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.54
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.09
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.13
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$48.2
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$716.88
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$149.18
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.88
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.46
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$647Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$647.04
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT4250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.99
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$575.29
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$907Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$914.35
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$525.89
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$382.4
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$367.59
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$764.82
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.84
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+106%+$810.59
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.98
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$725.43
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.02
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$747.74
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.77
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,547Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$2,671
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,248.48
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$623.96
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.2
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.74
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$400.9
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$400.9
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+122.3%+$460.01
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+126%+$711.56
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.57
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$719.48
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Karen Khachanovbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$437.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.