TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$228,941
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$229,850

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,941 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over44c115,244$50,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,168.121,41449.5%700 W · 714 L-4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c91,373$48,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,445.7210,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa285…f906backed Over54c23,519$12,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,700771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under52c22,472$11,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,786.5221650.5%109 W · 107 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under55c18,680$10,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,489.9511,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over55c15,838$8,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,756.018,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over53c14,387$7,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,624.94,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c9,482$4,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,120.181,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c9,285$3,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,660.6512,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under46c7,853$3,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,225.6647552%247 W · 228 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Under47c6,900$3,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6573432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over52c6,795$3,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,529.991,38650.6%702 W · 684 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Over53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65082042.6%349 W · 471 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa354…22ebbacked Under77c3,896$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c2,885$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.448,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under51c2,556$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.351,79750.4%906 W · 891 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under46c2,343$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.41,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a95…3a16backed Under75c2,133$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.33366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under56c2,112$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.284,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06045451.3%233 W · 221 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc279…6465backed Under50c1,822$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.354654.3%25 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c1,546$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.16,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd4…de15backed Over56c1,508$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.2920161.2%123 W · 78 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over53c1,488$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.3420350.7%103 W · 100 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked Over51c1,453$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7403151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under46c1,144$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.0165749.2%323 W · 334 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over53c1,115$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.852,31052.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Under56c915.42$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.4923166.7%154 W · 77 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over50c819.74$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.873,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over52c797.95$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.9332552.9%172 W · 153 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26029153.6%156 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c38…1bfabacked Under54c487.04$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.043171%22 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under48c479.67$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.211,84849.6%917 W · 931 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Under47c475.14$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.829856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004650%23 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under49c459$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.0973650.7%373 W · 363 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb68…4ef3backed Over52c436.58$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.025940.7%24 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b22…9431backed Over51c420$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.27360.3%44 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20828452.5%149 W · 135 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2470…dc4dbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over56c392$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.521,85544%817 W · 1,038 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over51c368.36$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18716353.4%87 W · 76 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8732266.5%214 W · 108 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under54c312.39$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.392857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Under49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1215044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under48c284.33$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.854,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over53c270.08$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.788,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under52c265.4$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.391,21953.9%657 W · 562 L+32.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85b3…33efbacked Over54c259.26$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1408460.7%51 W · 33 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c256.63$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.319,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3618…b2b2backed Over53c246.61$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.79840.8%40 W · 58 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…5976backed Over52c222.92$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.926749.3%33 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Over51c212$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.121631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-48.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under57c211.19$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.811,24058.1%721 W · 519 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under57c208.96$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3550856.9%289 W · 219 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210251%52 W · 50 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under40c183.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3928256.4%159 W · 123 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Over53c169$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5733649.1%165 W · 171 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over18c166.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8313345.9%61 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over55c155.41$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.712,17239.9%866 W · 1,306 L+1.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under70c143$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.214,40544.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L+80.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under54c136.41$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.753534.3%12 W · 23 L-5.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over54c132.67$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6420350.2%102 W · 101 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under52c131.5$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.122,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under61c124.11$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.051,94753.1%1,033 W · 914 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.678550.2%394 W · 391 L+2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Over53c117$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.512450%12 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Under48c112.93$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.725070%35 W · 15 L+7.6wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+29.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Under48c112.92$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.722871.4%20 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+41.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Over54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6081657.1%466 W · 350 L-2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under51c107.86$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.853,84142.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under57c105.6$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4143757%249 W · 188 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29de…d9e6backed Under57c105.6$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4158358.5%341 W · 242 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over62c94.68$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.655,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over60c89.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9996553%511 W · 454 L+18.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked Over52c89.69$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6416850.6%85 W · 83 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under56c84.93$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.371,02658.1%596 W · 430 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c68…219fbacked Under75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under47c79.49$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.131,21250%606 W · 606 L+5.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed Over56c78.95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2146251.7%239 W · 223 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over51c76.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9242455.4%235 W · 189 L-1.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cb4…b6e1backed Over55c74.46$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4114252.8%75 W · 67 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Over45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011060.9%67 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Under51c64.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5424250%121 W · 121 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under41c58.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7847552.4%249 W · 226 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over43c58.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2560049.3%296 W · 304 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under50c58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8789548.3%432 W · 463 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under71c52.29$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3390669.9%633 W · 273 L+94.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over51c52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5280255%441 W · 361 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under47c51.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.152752.2%275 W · 252 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Under47c51.08$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0813553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.832,41349.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L+22.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6383854.7%458 W · 380 L+29.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed Under41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.53450%17 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Under41c45.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.643455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe010…594dbacked Under56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.642751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x369e…d016backed Under56c44.61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6111962.2%74 W · 45 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under54c40.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.311,27857%728 W · 550 L+33.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under56c34.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.133,21951.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L+148.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x080e…78a5backed Over33c33.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2510330.1%31 W · 72 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid+4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.