MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf5f873f451f450ca24e2bef2086bbd14644ee22d83bc0d4c9118fb05fbfc9f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 11,853$4,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,733.61 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 9,915$6,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,628.46 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…3269backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 5,083$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,253.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Atlanta Braves | 36c | 3,432$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.27 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 3,388$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.32 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 2,374$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.36 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…7eccbacked Atlanta Braves | 36c | 2,244$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…b86ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 1,650$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.95 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Atlanta Braves | 71c | 1,415$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.54 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Atlanta Braves | 32c | 927.04$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.43 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 860.19$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.52 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 775.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.15 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 31c | 768.41$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.94 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 702.96$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.92 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 649.32$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.04 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 623.64$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.13 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 507.04$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.02 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Milwaukee Brewers | 27c | 398.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.73 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 343.75$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 239.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.96 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 184.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 183.74$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3618…b2b2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 170.03$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.72 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 136.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 103.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Braves | 32c | 101$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.49 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 97.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 97.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Atlanta Braves | 36c | 93.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Atlanta Braves | 79c | 91.1$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 67.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 50.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atlanta Braves | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Atlanta Braves | 75c | 49.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x003f…3805backed Milwaukee Brewers | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 39.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 36.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…fe6bbacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 35.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4906…7e10backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 30.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 28.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 27.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…7967backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 26.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…1ff8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 24.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…99d0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…5ed1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 242 | 63.6%154 W · 88 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…47b6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 16.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 16.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 15.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…dbcdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 14.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee BrewersAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.