MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3de019e164efec7a527e1bbf94137ae0eb270e0abe0d42aebd03e28d59692b3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 76c | 53,754$40,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,842.98 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 69c | 47,441$32,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,939.26 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 33c | 32,434$10,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,703.1 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 32c | 19,989$6,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,494.63 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 10,370$6,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189.83 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 40c | 9,836$3,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,915.03 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 67c | 8,000$5,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 6,900$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.18 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 33c | 6,402$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.55 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 33c | 6,215$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.24 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 67c | 4,449$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.32 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 67c | 4,056$2,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.53 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 14c | 3,512$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.88 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 67c | 1,742$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.93 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 67c | 1,689$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.4 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 33c | 1,152$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.03 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Over | 45c | 839.96$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.98 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 67c | 494$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.02 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Under | 66c | 488$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.69 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 8c | 460.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 38c | 392$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.96 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 34c | 323$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.82 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 60c | 298.16$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.11 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 72c | 293.95$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Under | 59c | 233.35$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.67 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3618…b2b2backed Over | 34c | 171.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over | 11c | 157$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 42c | 139.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 24c | 132.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 28c | 103.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 41c | 96.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1821…26a0backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 25c | 57.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Over | 42c | 47.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 34c | 44.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…637cbacked Over | 34c | 43.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 67c | 42.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Under | 69c | 40.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…b490backed Over | 33c | 38.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…99d0backed Over | 42c | 34.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 80c | 32.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Under | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Under | 72c | 27.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 67c | 27.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed Under | 57c | 24.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…8d69backed Under | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 67c | 18.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Under | 68c | 15.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee BrewersAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.