MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc96be327f0f834f4933e6dcccf42b14d32b25481e816e8e0e9c5d4535ea72002
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 24,674$12,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,109.12 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 44c | 14,987$6,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,594.2 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 47c | 13,351$6,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,317.67 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 11,041$5,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,156.3 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5461…92bebacked Over | 45c | 10,471$4,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,695.21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Under | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.29 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 53c | 3,904$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.03 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 2,811$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.74 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Over | 49c | 2,427$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 56c | 2,270$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.64 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 58c | 2,069$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.97 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 55c | 1,911$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.6 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 1,829$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.71 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 50c | 1,536$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.07 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Over | 51c | 1,205$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.25 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 56c | 1,106$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.45 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Under | 78c | 897.44$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.44 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 713.52$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 56c | 639.55$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.4 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 57c | 574.79$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.99 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 56c | 552.79$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.23 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Under | 56c | 534.07$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 25c | 409$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 56c | 318.07$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.95 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 56c | 298.46$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.32 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 56c | 264.18$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.24 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 53c | 245.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…a158backed Over | 43c | 243.37$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Under | 55c | 221.13$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Under | 56c | 214.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.48 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Under | 56c | 214.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 50c | 207.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3618…b2b2backed Over | 46c | 205.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Under | 59c | 170.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Over | 47c | 154$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Under | 56c | 143.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 48c | 131.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 56c | 122$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 68c | 114.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 56c | 113.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 53c | 110.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 42c | 96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7589…2775backed Under | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Under | 56c | 90.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 48c | 73.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…80a3backed Under | 71c | 71.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 43c | 69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Under | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 64c | 64.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 58c | 63.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Under | 56c | 61.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Over | 53c | 60.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 52c | 53.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Under | 56c | 44.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 56c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 56c | 40.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 55c | 37.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 56c | 35.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Over | 31c | 33.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4d…975bbacked Under | 61c | 29.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…99d0backed Over | 50c | 29.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…5ed1backed Over | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 242 | 63.6%154 W · 88 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 50c | 21.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Under | 56c | 21.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 49c | 21.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…47b6backed Over | 50c | 20.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Under | 55c | 20.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ff…85f4backed Under | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Under | 56c | 18.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee BrewersAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.