TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x762e…4bf0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
700
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NFL, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 61 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT24551.8%127 W · 118 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 245 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,623Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$995.66
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$1,036.99
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$868.97
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$982.14
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$883Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$665.75
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$351.53
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$226.41
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$735.42
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+79%+$336.55
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$182.8
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$423.16
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.12
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$153.32
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$459.05
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$459.56
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.52
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.48
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.13
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$260.19
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.59
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.87
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$143.52
Showing 25 of 245 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT9652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Connecticut Huskies (W)backed South Carolina Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$946Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$1,041.24
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-8.5)backed Illinois State Redbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,290.49
Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-3.5)backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,314Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$1,726.67
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,585Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,585.44
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,393.55
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,740Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,671.64
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,974Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,973.84
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-8.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,279.69
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$725.25
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,444Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$5,397.12
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,439Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$5,059.08
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-8.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,650.38
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$528
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$5,451.74
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,234.77
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,532Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,531.57
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-9.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$9,418Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7,399.91
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-12.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,930Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,930.11
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-25.5)backed Tennessee State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,149.72
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-8.5)backed Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,529.51
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,461Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,460.83
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5)backed VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,452Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$5,451.88
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-15.5)backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,163.95
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,709Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,708.7
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-13.5)backed Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,956.41
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT7640.8%31 W · 45 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.39
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$374.84
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.41
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.18
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$89.08
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$235.94
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$303.84
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.6
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.97
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$633.41
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$346.37
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.71
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.77
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$241.87
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$399.51
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.23
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.82
France leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.45
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.67
Brazil vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.84
Panama vs. England: England O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,060.32
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,214.01
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$529.3
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$899Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$898.96
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,059Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$842.38
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT5752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Fulham FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$996.07
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,375Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$804.78
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Hull City AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$747.27
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+188.8%+$367.26
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,428Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,216.8
Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$740.27
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$858.1
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,263.64
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,750
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,883Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$4,050.77
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,873Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$1,128.36
Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$842.54
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$527.85
Will Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$520.92
Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$720.41
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,019.68
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$502.04
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,026.71
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$755.4
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$837Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$535.37
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)backed Wrexham AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,251Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$1,212.81
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,061.17
Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$2,393.16
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,796Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,530.77
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,941Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$1,893.77
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT5050%25 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,724Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,723.98
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$968Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$901.25
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,703Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,702.69
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,439Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,438.56
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$759.24
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,163.1
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,250
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,850
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,750
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,894Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,183.51
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,731Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,203.16
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneylinebacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$280.77
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,489.58
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,079.77
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$583.18
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$828Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$465.82
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,018.74
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,353.36
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.61
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,485
76ers vs. Celtics: 1H Moneylinebacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,210
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,760Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,560.75
1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$797.74
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$475.71
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$734.42
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT3844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,342Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,561.46
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,323Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,881.81
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,970Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,969.93
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,650
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,650Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$2,360.06
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,650Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$2,168.18
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$15.06
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,837Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,276.3
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+122.3%+$571.34
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$822.95
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,670
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,113.73
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$1,797.27
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,899Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,491.89
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$207.11
Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+197%+$141.79
Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,058.71
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,917Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,485.02
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,010.97
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,898Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,898.16
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$733.58
Senators vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,935.41
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,799.74
Blackhawks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,427Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,427.23
Predators vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,450
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT3655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. RU Saint-Gilloise end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$243.42
Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$475.91
Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$721Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$995.57
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,222.22
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,563Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,562.53
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,903Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,902.8
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,609Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$3,297
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,963.24
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,799.99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,850Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,566.67
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,650Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,350.74
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,915Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$2,400.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,097Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,064.67
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,501Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+118.5%+$4,148.24
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,862Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$4,862
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed AS Monaco FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+78.4%+$1,841.97
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,538Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+51.9%+$1,835.21
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,250
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,950Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$1,966.67
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,750
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,815Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$2,211.79
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,504Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$2,311.38
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$312.68
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$758Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$757.87
Will FC København win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$389.79
FK Auda vs. FCSB: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.14
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$960
Will AZ win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,403Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,402.58
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,409Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$3,409.07
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$3,500
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+111.8%+$4,471.82
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,250
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$2,769.23
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-08-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$433.82
Will AEK Larnaka win on 2025-08-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,254Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,254.05
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49,653Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+67.3%+$33,432.57
All 14 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)backed NEOM SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,555
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.81
Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)backed Wuhan San Zhen FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$204.36
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$436.44
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+107%+$1,465.54
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,199.99
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,700
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+155.2%+$962.11
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,678Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,678
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Shabab Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$682.58
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+83.3%+$405.98
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$3,290
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-10-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$125.36
All 13 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+69.6%+$1,218.76
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,450Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+81.8%+$2,822.73
Missouri vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,117Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,116.57
Utah vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$841Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$987.26
Old Dominion vs. James Madisonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$932Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+97.5%+$909.06
Arizona vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+102.2%+$471.49
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$121.36
Louisville vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$601.01
Rutgers vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+35.3%+$47.56
South Florida vs. North Texasbacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,876Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,875.88
Spread: Illinois (-9.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,219Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,218.63
Tulsa vs. Oklahoma Statebacked Oklahoma State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$306.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Real Madridbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$719.6
Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,703Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,703.11
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,453Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+69%+$1,693.04
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$814Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,221.24
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$719Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$718.54
Monaco vs. Barcelonabacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$949Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$779.48
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$672Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$672.44
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$374.74
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Panathinaikosbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,180.14
Saski Baskonia vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.55
Monaco vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,954Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,473.71
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.36per pick53cpaid+69.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,167Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$4,060.04
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$2,172.45
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+107.2%+$3,860.72
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,450Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+84.8%+$2,077.67
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,697Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$2,591.59
Eagles vs. Chargers: 1H Moneylinebacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+106.7%+$316.64
1H Spread: 49ers (-3.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+70%+$309.66
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,113.75
Spread: Steelers (-5.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$91.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+105.7%+$363.3
Estoril Praia vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,733Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$2,247.47
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,892Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,892
Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$619.68
FC København vs. Vejle BK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.7
Hibernian FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,034Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$808.45
Will Vålerenga Fotball vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,058
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,298Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+152%+$1,972.51
Will FC København win on 2025-10-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+103.4%+$305.53
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,708.33
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,420
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,591Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,591.36
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,211
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$761.24
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.95
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$761.93
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,000
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,542Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$2,461.46
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$1,076.9
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.71
Liberty vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,599Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+91.2%+$1,458.73
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Betis Balompié · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,635Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$1,035.99
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Girona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,950Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+100%+$1,950.24
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,544Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,544
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,090Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+73%+$2,255.14
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$1,000.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,069
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$838Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$471.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Mariano Navone vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$64.89
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs RED Canids (BO1)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+72.4%+$139.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$1,194.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs FlyQuest (BO1)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$64.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Bo Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$68.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.