NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91b233dff5f8be5b036e3eedb02baf1f3241b0545b12053ac2288dacb3bbd785
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 5,071$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.71 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Under | 65c | 3,313$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.74 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 59c | 2,744$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.78 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 53c | 1,876$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 60c | 1,165$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.8 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 40c | 1,063$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.19 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…78ddbacked Under | 59c | 637.7$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Under | 56c | 526$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 28c | 485$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 43c | 471.42$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 65c | 455.92$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 41c | 445.93$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.57 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Under | 66c | 412.69$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 45c | 401.93$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.97 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 34c | 400$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.24 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 12c | 391.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…fe8cbacked Under | 54c | 348.62$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 52c | 329.98$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 72c | 312$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.08 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 37c | 216.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 39c | 215.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Over | 30c | 165.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 10c | 126$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 40c | 113.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 76c | 112.79$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Under | 69c | 104.54$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 25c | 103.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Under | 59c | 101.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Over | 28c | 99.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0f…3c8ebacked Under | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 60c | 77.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf96…8843backed Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 43c | 68.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 72c | 68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 50c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Under | 73c | 63.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 48c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…ba08backed Over | 50c | 60.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Over | 53c | 60.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…a74dbacked Under | 54c | 59.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 59c | 58.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Over | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 53c | 56.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 43c | 56.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 42c | 48.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Over | 31c | 47.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 36c | 40.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97f…b5e5backed Over | 41c | 34.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Over | 57c | 32.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe2…49d1backed Under | 71c | 31.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab37…7b61backed Under | 65c | 29.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Under | 66c | 25.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 60c | 25.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 67c | 25.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 71c | 24.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 69c | 21.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e76…5025backed Under | 71c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 57c | 18.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe9…7c35backed Under | 71c | 16.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 80c | 13.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. DucksDucks won
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Golden Knights won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.