TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1201…a74d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
174
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT4928.6%14 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$26.39
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.99
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
Spread: England (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.95
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.04
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Cody Gakpo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$51.37
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+163.3%+$32.67
Will England win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Portugal leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT4544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+142.9%+$731.49
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.71
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28.39
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$30.7
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$31.92
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85%+$27.2
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$39.91
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$18.95
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$24.41
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+132.3%+$16.41
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$104
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Spread: Broncos (-6.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+88.7%+$124.15
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+108.3%+$43.33
Spread: 49ers (-5.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+73.3%+$36.67
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$100
Ravens vs. Chiefs: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$84.49
Chargers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+113.6%+$113.62
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$63.74
Chiefs vs. Giantsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$101.89
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$127
Spread: Vikings (-3.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$183.27
Eagles vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$132
Rams vs. Titansbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$134.78
Patriots vs. Dolphinsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$178.44
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.64
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$34.59
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$36.82
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+53.4%+$57.09
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$130.34
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$128
Mariners vs. Royalsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$110
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$30.65
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$21.73
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$18.85
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.82
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.75
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$128
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$35.8
Will Everton vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+273.5%+$65.63
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$114
Will Brighton win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$101
Will Burnley FC vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$85.69
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+108.6%+$119.49
UTSA vs. Colorado Statebacked UTSA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+51.6%+$206.41
Maryland vs. Wisconsinbacked Wisconsin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$365
Georgia vs. Tennesseebacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$193.06
All 5 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$84.07
Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat Young Boys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+81.8%+$184.91
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$46.12
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+169.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+169.5%+$33.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$12.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Toreros vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferencvaros beat Dynamo Kyiv?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$206.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.