UFC · resolved market
Ankalaev vs. Pereira
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ae8ba9d5dd2b181163aa76591743b4392fab473689f56c9317fb9e10eef297a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pereiraof Ankalaev, Pereira
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,786,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,185,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,786,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 894 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Pereira | 30c | 528,827$160,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368,355.77 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Ankalaev | 69c | 389,652$268,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268,834.63 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Pereira | 31c | 257,435$79,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177,704.24 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Ankalaev | 69c | 225,344$155,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155,233.96 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Ankalaev | 69c | 200,132$138,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138,517 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Ankalaev | 70c | 152,800$106,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,810.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Ankalaev | 69c | 112,082$77,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,234.46 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Pereira | 30c | 105,494$31,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,590.79 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Ankalaev | 69c | 104,188$72,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,116.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Pereira | 31c | 103,286$32,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,267.47 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Pereira | 30c | 94,266$28,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,834.8 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Ankalaev | 69c | 79,581$54,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,911.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Ankalaev | 69c | 79,298$54,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,865.5 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…2c15backed Ankalaev | 70c | 73,699$51,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,589.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pereira | 31c | 65,822$20,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,237.71 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df2…b973backed Pereira | 31c | 56,454$17,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,952.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Ankalaev | 70c | 48,000$33,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,600 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5d…38b5backed Ankalaev | 70c | 43,643$30,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,355 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Ankalaev | 70c | 40,999$28,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,699.43 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Pereira | 31c | 40,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,600 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Ankalaev | 68c | 35,000$23,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,799.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Ankalaev | 70c | 34,200$23,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,940 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Ankalaev | 69c | 32,500$22,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,574.97 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Pereira | 30c | 32,482$9,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,681.43 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Pereira | 31c | 32,258$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,258.06 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2501…5a20backed Pereira | 31c | 31,375$9,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,504.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +217.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Pereira | 79c | 29,999$23,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,426.38 | 281 | 43.1%121 W · 160 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…0aaabacked Ankalaev | 69c | 29,000$20,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,010 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pereira | 31c | 28,593$8,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,729.17 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ba…9c04backed Pereira | 32c | 28,338$9,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,261.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Ankalaev | 70c | 25,000$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,399.9 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Pereira | 31c | 23,400$7,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,146 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Pereira | 31c | 23,263$7,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,051.55 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…e99bbacked Pereira | 33c | 21,310$6,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,320.66 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Ankalaev | 70c | 20,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…45b0backed Pereira | 31c | 19,132$5,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ankalaev | 69c | 18,046$12,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,451.79 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…a760backed Pereira | 32c | 15,625$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,625 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…118fbacked Pereira | 32c | 15,625$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,625 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…c428backed Pereira | 31c | 15,211$4,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,495.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Ankalaev | 70c | 14,980$10,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,490 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…8abebacked Ankalaev | 69c | 14,671$10,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,123 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Ankalaev | 1c | 14,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +291.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa78f…72dbbacked Pereira | 30c | 13,315$3,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,320.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Ankalaev | 69c | 12,821$8,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,838.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Ankalaev | 70c | 12,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d7…daa1backed Pereira | 31c | 11,418$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,878.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…03ccbacked Pereira | 30c | 10,777$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,506.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +229.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Pereira | 30c | 10,667$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,466.67 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Ankalaev | 69c | 10,630$7,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,328.66 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab0…2b4abacked Pereira | 31c | 10,233$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,087.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +225.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pereira | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…234abacked Ankalaev | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Ankalaev | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Ankalaev | 62c | 9,999$6,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.38 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Pereira | 31c | 9,700$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,693 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Ankalaev | 70c | 9,286$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Pereira | 30c | 8,589$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,048.16 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Ankalaev | 70c | 8,571$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…d143backed Pereira | 31c | 7,027$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,848.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Ankalaev | 69c | 7,000$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa1…f52cbacked Ankalaev | 69c | 6,811$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.62 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Pereira | 31c | 6,452$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,451.61 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…4229backed Ankalaev | 70c | 6,429$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Pereira | 30c | 6,000$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,185 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +230.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pereira | 31c | 5,914$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,051.69 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…b207backed Pereira | 32c | 5,591$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,801.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Ankalaev | 70c | 5,289$3,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696.39 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d92…b97ebacked Ankalaev | 69c | 5,163$3,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,562.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ankalaev | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Ankalaev | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pereira | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2876…c4b2backed Pereira | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…29abbacked Pereira | 32c | 4,688$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,187.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…e4c2backed Ankalaev | 70c | 4,395$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.34 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c0…2a97backed Ankalaev | 70c | 4,283$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Ankalaev | 70c | 4,231$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.7 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4f…fda5backed Pereira | 31c | 4,194$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.55 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…4d5ebacked Pereira | 32c | 4,063$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Ankalaev | 70c | 4,000$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Pereira | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Pereira | 32c | 3,594$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.75 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…cdb3backed Ankalaev | 70c | 3,428$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Pereira | 33c | 3,417$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.25 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pereira | 31c | 3,400$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Ankalaev | 63c | 3,350$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.54 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d9…3a2ebacked Pereira | 31c | 3,295$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370f…c4e4backed Ankalaev | 69c | 3,268$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.27 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb303…f569backed Pereira | 31c | 3,241$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.41per pick | 43cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Ankalaev | 70c | 3,236$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed Pereira | 30c | 3,223$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.43 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…3aefbacked Ankalaev | 70c | 3,218$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Ankalaev | 71c | 3,171$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.59 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…5b51backed Pereira | 34c | 3,047$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.77 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Ankalaev | 69c | 3,043$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.67 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Ankalaev | 71c | 3,021$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pereira | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Ankalaev | 70c | 3,000$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…e888backed Pereira | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…c6b0backed Pereira | 31c | 3,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ankalaev vs. Pereirathis page
- Dvalishvili vs. SandhagenDvalishvili won
- Emmett vs. ZalalZalal won
- Gutierrez vs. BasharatBasharat won
- Magomedov vs. PyferPyfer won
- Mix vs. WiklaczWiklacz won
- Muniz vs. ShahbazyanShahbazyan won
- Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.Procházka won
- Santos vs. ChiassonSantos won
- Santos vs. YooSantos won
- Soriano vs. VeretennikovSoriano won
- Vanderford vs. BrahimajBrahimaj won
- Walker vs. HardyHardy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.