UFC · resolved market
Soriano vs. Veretennikov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5f7a61fe3413d48510c07c255f6e502586a0582ac8309662a9177b8736f2d03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sorianoof Soriano, Veretennikov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Soriano | 76c | 27,118$20,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,518.36 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Veretennikov | 24c | 16,684$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004.1 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Soriano | 78c | 16,000$12,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,583.31 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Soriano | 76c | 11,850$9,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,837.02 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Veretennikov | 24c | 10,805$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.87 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Veretennikov | 22c | 8,009$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.01 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Soriano | 77c | 5,500$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.15 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Veretennikov | 24c | 5,251$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.24 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Veretennikov | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.99 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Veretennikov | 12c | 4,503$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.42 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Veretennikov | 24c | 3,992$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Veretennikov | 23c | 3,956$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.42 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Veretennikov | 24c | 3,550$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Soriano | 75c | 3,352$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.88 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Veretennikov | 24c | 3,140$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.48 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Veretennikov | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Soriano | 76c | 2,500$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Soriano | 75c | 2,490$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.45 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Veretennikov | 23c | 2,200$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Veretennikov | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Soriano | 75c | 2,000$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.56 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Veretennikov | 34c | 1,973$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.92 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Veretennikov | 24c | 1,804$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.96 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Veretennikov | 25c | 1,800$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Veretennikov | 23c | 1,649$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.23 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Veretennikov | 23c | 1,609$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.68 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Veretennikov | 25c | 1,380$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.85 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Veretennikov | 9c | 1,215$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 281 | 43.1%121 W · 160 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Veretennikov | 22c | 1,168$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.96 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Soriano | 76c | 1,065$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.6 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked Veretennikov | 25c | 998.12$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Soriano | 77c | 972.93$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.98 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…5231backed Veretennikov | 23c | 961.01$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.03 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Veretennikov | 25c | 949.6$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Soriano | 77c | 909.09$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Veretennikov | 24c | 867.08$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.1 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Soriano | 67c | 669.06$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Soriano | 76c | 666$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…b2f9backed Soriano | 76c | 563.11$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.57 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Veretennikov | 28c | 530.54$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.55 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Soriano | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Soriano | 51c | 485.42$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.86 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…1bafbacked Veretennikov | 25c | 454.88$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.72 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Veretennikov | 12c | 439$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Veretennikov | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Veretennikov | 24c | 397.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Soriano | 77c | 388.31$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Veretennikov | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…8cb6backed Soriano | 74c | 300$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Veretennikov | 22c | 292$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Veretennikov | 23c | 240$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Soriano | 78c | 238.23$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Veretennikov | 24c | 204$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Veretennikov | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Veretennikov | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Veretennikov | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Soriano | 76c | 199.96$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Soriano | 67c | 162$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Soriano | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Veretennikov | 25c | 132$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Soriano | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Soriano | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Soriano | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Veretennikov | 25c | 117.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Veretennikov | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…ec62backed Soriano | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Veretennikov | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Veretennikov | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Veretennikov | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Soriano | 76c | 99.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Soriano | 76c | 98.41$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…2090backed Veretennikov | 24c | 91.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Veretennikov | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Veretennikov | 34c | 81.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 223 | 34.1%76 W · 147 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked Veretennikov | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Soriano | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…36fabacked Soriano | 77c | 71.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Soriano | 73c | 69.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec6…a530backed Veretennikov | 20c | 69.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Soriano | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18b…4e0ebacked Soriano | 77c | 64.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…424bbacked Veretennikov | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Veretennikov | 24c | 58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Soriano | 76c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Veretennikov | 24c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f0…c63cbacked Veretennikov | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a07…05c1backed Veretennikov | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Soriano | 77c | 44.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Soriano | 67c | 43.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Veretennikov | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…73ecbacked Veretennikov | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Soriano | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…507cbacked Soriano | 76c | 16.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Soriano | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Soriano | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe936…8944backed Soriano | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Soriano vs. Veretennikovthis page
- Ankalaev vs. PereiraPereira won
- Dvalishvili vs. SandhagenDvalishvili won
- Emmett vs. ZalalZalal won
- Gutierrez vs. BasharatBasharat won
- Magomedov vs. PyferPyfer won
- Mix vs. WiklaczWiklacz won
- Muniz vs. ShahbazyanShahbazyan won
- Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.Procházka won
- Santos vs. ChiassonSantos won
- Santos vs. YooSantos won
- Vanderford vs. BrahimajBrahimaj won
- Walker vs. HardyHardy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.