TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a07…05c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
176
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 55 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST4526.7%12 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$133.82
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Will Trump say UN / United Nations during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$29.92
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$22.8
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+77%+$26.29
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during the DC Crime Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.18
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.6
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.72
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
US forces in Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.43
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$254.63
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+234.8%+$143.24
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$32.5
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump say "ICE" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.25
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT3141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Allan Nascimento · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.91
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.backed Rountree Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Magomedov vs. Pyferbacked Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.08
Soriano vs. Veretennikovbacked Veretennikov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
UFC 319: Will Du Plessis win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$123
UFC Fight Night: Brundage vs. McConicobacked Brundage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.26
UFC Fight Night: Park vs. Tairabacked Park · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Taira and Rębeckibacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
UFC Fight Night: Rębecki vs. Duncan backed Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+267.5%+$86.94
UFC Fight Night: Brener vs. Ribovicsbacked Brener · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Vallejosbacked Vallejos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12.63
UFC Fight Night: Nakamura vs. Fletcherbacked Nakamura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$71.85
UFC 318 Parlay – Poirier + Rodriguez backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.39
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+73.1%+$206.59
UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylovbacked Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+152.3%+$30.47
UFC 318 Parlay – Holloway + Holland backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$144.36
UFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez backed Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$68.21
UFC 318: Phillips vs. Oliveirabacked Phillips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$81
UFC 318: Vettori vs. Allen backed Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$20.56
UFC 318: Prado vs. Veretennikovbacked Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night Parlay: Teixeira + Bonfimbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeirabacked Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
UFC Fight Night: Tafa vs. Tokkosbacked Tafa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.02
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike 3 countries in October 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$150.1
Israel strike on Yemen by October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Israel carry out an airstrike on the West Bank by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.51
Will Netanyahu say "Palestine" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$27.6
Israel strikes Iran before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+32.7%+$27.82
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$70
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.3
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$66.79
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+64.8%+$129.24
Israel strikes Syria by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$384.2
Israel strikes Yemen by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+65.1%+$9
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.93
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+41.5%+$284.18
Israel strike on Iran on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Israel strike on Iran on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.24
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+153.2%+$32.16
All 21 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-45.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.35
Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.44
Han Duck-soo in jail by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.4
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Yoon in jail before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.76
Yoon arrested by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$229.48
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$22.48
Will the Progressive Reform Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.2
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+525%+$63
Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.74
Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Will CHEGA win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will the next Pope be from Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Smashing Machine" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 18m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.01
Will "Eddington" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $6.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$52
Will "Eddington" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $9-11m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.8
Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $13m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 30–39?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+150.8%+$222.5
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$224.39
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-43.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-73.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-69.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+56.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+70.4%+$111.5
Will Ethereum dip to $4200 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$282.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+160.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+160.4%+$147.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Leagues Cup Winner – MLS or Liga MX?backed MLS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+40.4%+$127.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will anyone say "Teams" during the Q4 2025 Microsoft earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paper Rex win the 2025 Valorant Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.