World Politics · resolved market
Yoon in jail before August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3d646330c69637855b99af191c40ba980928eaa1cd97c1f6aa52de6de21bf76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,268,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,004,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,268,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7fa…16cbbacked Yes | 80c | 191,490$152,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,902.91 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…888ebacked No | 1c | 82,812$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…7817backed No | 1c | 72,531$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…eed6backed Yes | 75c | 43,626$32,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,810.07 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed No | 14c | 40,662$5,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,560.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…53a3backed No | 32c | 32,252$10,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,229.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…57fdbacked Yes | 75c | 30,455$22,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,728.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 6c | 28,522$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.6 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed No | 4c | 25,820$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.66 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…929fbacked No | 0c | 24,801$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 11c | 22,508$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.02 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…4f1ebacked No | 7c | 21,267$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa12f…3322backed No | 11c | 21,074$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…ef93backed No | 10c | 20,000$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +285.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 24c | 19,483$4,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,641.31 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ea…c8e2backed No | 27c | 18,125$4,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,866.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 26c | 15,220$3,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,914.99 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed No | 36c | 14,925$5,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,437.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 0c | 12,785$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…b1e6backed No | 19c | 12,237$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.06 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…a9d2backed No | 14c | 11,548$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.08 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x944d…d633backed No | 1c | 11,442$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…681fbacked No | 2c | 11,341$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed No | 11c | 11,340$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.36 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 5c | 10,750$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed No | 18c | 10,208$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.48 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed No | 32c | 10,119$3,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,264.44 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa8…4280backed No | 23c | 10,047$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked No | 30c | 10,013$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +701.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 12c | 9,512$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.92 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked No | 11c | 9,055$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…54afbacked No | 16c | 8,488$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.62 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed No | 18c | 8,370$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4847…a5c2backed No | 22c | 8,223$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b1…bc54backed No | 20c | 8,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 19c | 7,617$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.25 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed No | 28c | 7,502$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.8 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad3…deafbacked No | 29c | 7,450$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked No | 24c | 7,381$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.14 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81aa…0c12backed No | 13c | 7,091$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…1252backed No | 23c | 6,833$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 44c | 6,757$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.19 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…d36abacked No | 30c | 6,667$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…81fdbacked No | 21c | 6,488$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed No | 34c | 6,274$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.77 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed No | 3c | 6,174$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.69 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f866backed Yes | 67c | 6,133$4,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.2 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed Yes | 57c | 6,090$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.49 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8af…04e7backed No | 41c | 5,653$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed No | 17c | 5,643$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.5 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…a9b4backed No | 34c | 5,588$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7504…9c69backed No | 33c | 5,271$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fd…01e2backed No | 1c | 5,210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 5,169$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 30c | 5,058$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.51 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed No | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 11c | 5,000$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.32 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 31c | 5,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked No | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…3e4ebacked No | 13c | 4,817$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 76c | 4,816$3,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.71 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…9ee2backed No | 23c | 4,605$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.14 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 11c | 4,299$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.83 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked No | 14c | 4,267$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…f7f4backed No | 18c | 4,074$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed No | 13c | 4,000$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked No | 5c | 3,959$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.93 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 3,940$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 18c | 3,939$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.81 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 69c | 3,851$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.76 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed No | 24c | 3,800$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked No | 13c | 3,782$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…89b4backed Yes | 69c | 3,681$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.52 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed No | 12c | 3,677$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 18c | 3,666$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.87 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff49…69f5backed No | 11c | 3,567$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.05 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +235.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c7…addabacked No | 11c | 3,316$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc152…e378backed Yes | 69c | 3,253$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.72 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…5ec5backed No | 13c | 3,228$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.21 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 38c | 3,000$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.38 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 12c | 2,956$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.23 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…6062backed No | 10c | 2,778$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc1…93d9backed No | 25c | 2,755$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…6cfdbacked No | 32c | 2,691$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b43…0a73backed No | 13c | 2,617$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 16c | 2,539$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.13 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…f1a6backed No | 32c | 2,500$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 19c | 2,470$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.4 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…510ebacked No | 21c | 2,420$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…e881backed Yes | 62c | 2,400$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +296.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…42c4backed No | 27c | 2,355$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed6e…e88cbacked No | 12c | 2,351$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…9de8backed No | 13c | 2,308$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…d3c7backed No | 11c | 2,300$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…bae5backed No | 7c | 2,279$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…bcbfbacked No | 1c | 2,264$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…562ebacked No | 10c | 2,260$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 32c | 2,222$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.04 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 17c | 2,197$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.19 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.