TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6a8…00c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
371
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 56 out of 100; worst Commodities at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT7238.9%28 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.87
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.06
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$318.45
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.71
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+152.7%+$69.61
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.36
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.19
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.51
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.27
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$251.04
US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$66.29
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+852.4%+$511.43
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$156
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,484.68
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$453.01
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$34.6
Another France debt downgrade by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$184.52
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+203%+$198.96
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$359.13
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.41
Yoon in jail before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,264.44
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT7042.9%30 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.96
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$120.17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$173.9
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,019.04
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.27
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.59
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.58
Will Iran strike Syria in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.85
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+43%+$101.94
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.31
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.09
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$27.86
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.85
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$11.25
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.14
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22.31
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.56
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+132%+$67.57
Will Iran strike Oman in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST5451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29.1%+$94.62
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+82.6%+$242.99
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+61.7%+$360.42
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$33.63
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.81
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+150%+$434.4
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55.47
Will Trump announce a national housing emergency in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+67.7%+$194.24
Trump out as President in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.54
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$79.84
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$232.61
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+101%+$171.27
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$131.36
Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19.48
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$433.3
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21.33
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$372.3
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+54.2%+$146.81
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$115.04
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.18
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.01
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$421.1
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$334.44
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$282.99
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT4727.7%13 W · 34 L-6.9wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-55.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Commodities — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.63
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.66
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.4
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$22.35
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$14.47
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$86.43
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.07
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.14
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$58.37
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$55.69
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.91
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$13.67
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.38
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.35
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $75-$80 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.53
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.19
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3762.2%23 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$86.39
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$48.49
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$326.32
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$168.76
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$67.51
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$56.83
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+50.5%+$297.12
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+194.2%+$325.45
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$127.62
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,127.53
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,090Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.8%+$510
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$827Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$826.52
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,825Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,824.96
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.9%+$139.95
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$88.5
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$119.2
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,487Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,487.14
Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+32.1%+$43.97
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$114.3
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$90.23
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.33
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$548.85
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,515Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,514.62
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$882.4
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.63
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$709Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+104.2%+$739.04
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$88
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$340
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+143.9%+$1,039.7
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$90.12
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40.63
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$176.98
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$120.6
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+387.3%+$8,195.08
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$998.03
Fed rate hike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,071Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,070.62
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.5
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,013.54
Fed rate cut by September meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.2
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.87
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$638.06
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+65%+$98.5
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+61.3%+$26.6
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+40.8%+$29
All 22 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,219Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+207.1%+$4,596.34
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+80%+$600.95
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$27.3
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$538.65
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+40.8%+$45.88
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.5
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.76
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,420Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+33.6%+$814.14
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.1
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$75.05
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$209.07
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$74
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.83
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% or less in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.46
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-53.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.57
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+97.4%+$46.68
Will Ken Paxton win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+49.9%+$56.72
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+32.7%+$84.92
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$52.94
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$340
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.52
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+66.6%+$94.44
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$141.77
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$390
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$116
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$77.66
Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$348.36
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.29
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+118.4%+$199.38
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$268.86
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.32
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+152.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+31.3%+$165.46
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+2,108.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+2,108.9%+$296.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+214.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTA Montreal – Mboko vs. Rybakinabacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+214.9%+$26.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.2%+$10.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+27.8%+$104.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Xi talk before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.