World Politics · resolved market
Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08b69086a3dae8a5b0547c0dba3c484719649684cacad12a690f26ace873b89d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,666,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $822,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,666,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 179,824$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.71 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 0cpaid | +2,830.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…e367backed Yes | 1c | 84,356$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.81 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 1c | 80,818$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.93 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c1…8a69backed Yes | 0c | 78,783$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 1c | 49,559$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.61 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 45,051$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.48 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc00d…6cd3backed Yes | 1c | 40,043$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +149.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes | 2c | 36,845$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.9 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb48…9566backed Yes | 0c | 30,461$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce17…f662backed Yes | 2c | 23,248$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked Yes | 1c | 21,122$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.48 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +214.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…7028backed Yes | 2c | 21,042$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +1,179.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3553…8740backed Yes | 0c | 20,364$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 19,834$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 1c | 15,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…49e9backed Yes | 5c | 14,737$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed Yes | 1c | 14,268$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +309.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f35…4437backed Yes | 1c | 13,193$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.75 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +397.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 13,071$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.65 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…55c1backed Yes | 1c | 12,396$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,537$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…af75backed Yes | 1c | 10,911$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc84e…93dfbacked Yes | 2c | 10,843$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 1c | 10,293$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.99 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd0…0f6abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ab…a766backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -82%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…87e2backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb30…636bbacked Yes | 0c | 9,585$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10eb…3c1fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,614$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +256.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x998d…b62cbacked Yes | 0c | 8,573$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 7,833$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.22 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f58…129abacked Yes | 2c | 6,903$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +582.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…54ecbacked Yes | 1c | 6,555$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c2…af74backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 101 | 8.9%9 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x521a…c7d5backed Yes | 0c | 5,725$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed Yes | 0c | 5,668$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9741…00e5backed Yes | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…044abacked Yes | 1c | 5,483$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 1c | 5,304$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,071$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…9017backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb2…332dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…5a48backed Yes | 2c | 4,759$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +3,937%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 4,708$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 2c | 4,652$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.63 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6e…067bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,422$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…f471backed Yes | 1c | 4,061$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…4d47backed Yes | 1c | 4,019$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…9e4fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,888$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +234.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…8707backed Yes | 0c | 3,836$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe386…5aa5backed Yes | 1c | 3,833$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…03d2backed Yes | 2c | 3,647$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +542.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,554$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…7acdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 8cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed Yes | 0c | 3,167$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…dc2bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 2,783$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…538ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,641$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…4b54backed Yes | 2c | 2,550$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d5…709bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,425$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 2c | 2,424$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…9c52backed Yes | 1c | 2,333$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +1,960.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…3adebacked Yes | 3c | 2,280$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…ab91backed Yes | 1c | 2,188$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae64…aca9backed Yes | 1c | 2,142$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 1c | 2,136$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac4…1f20backed Yes | 1c | 2,083$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2134…3288backed Yes | 2c | 2,031$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x501f…f746backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +258.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e8…db5fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,799$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520f…ce0bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,773$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…e385backed Yes | 1c | 1,699$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 3cpaid | +4,066.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362d…f352backed Yes | 1c | 1,635$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +528.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…356bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,622$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…aed2backed Yes | 3c | 1,586$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67b…368ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,574$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +411.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…cceebacked Yes | 1c | 1,554$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…9fa9backed Yes | 3c | 1,535$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 2c | 1,505$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6388…6230backed Yes | 2c | 1,505$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…4f2cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,478$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…5aa4backed Yes | 2c | 1,360$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…fc4cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,347$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0beb…880fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,305$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b3…a9e2backed Yes | 2c | 1,275$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 3c | 1,153$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…9f2fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,133$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3197…9c4ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,039$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…edeabacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1618…ade7backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54a…fe3fbacked Yes | 2c | 979.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…de48backed Yes | 3c | 958$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…9d93backed Yes | 1c | 940.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +79%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e57…903cbacked Yes | 3c | 877$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…e7b7backed Yes | 3c | 836$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?this page
- Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will Volt Netherlands win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.