World Politics · resolved market
Will Volt Netherlands win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x356057e0820341fb332b9de11d61dafe8e762617a0eb0a491f8904d3ba9e3a01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $569,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $569,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 0c | 59,408$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 50,010$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 0cpaid | +2,830.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b2…e801backed Yes | 0c | 35,864$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 27,864$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Yes | 0c | 27,747$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 25,010$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 18,467$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58c…6900backed Yes | 0c | 16,725$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 13,984$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x078a…ca98backed Yes | 0c | 10,370$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…340bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Volt Netherlands win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?this page
- Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.