World Politics · resolved market
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd05f5d5996df430308d5566a83bba6d5dfb96081e6cd9b08f0d722eaa84c264
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,679,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,192,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,679,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 485 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 19c | 128,753$24,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,576.42 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 16c | 70,920$11,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,626.51 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes | 28c | 55,421$15,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,265.28 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 18c | 48,081$8,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,635.42 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 15c | 32,976$4,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950.82 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 18c | 32,196$5,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,861.28 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 21c | 27,585$5,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,735.48 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…fec3backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 17c | 24,144$4,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,098.09 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc00d…6cd3backed Yes | 14c | 23,826$3,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,316.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +149.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 19c | 20,618$3,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,977.85 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…816fbacked Yes | 11c | 18,258$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.21 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -81%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x690c…2af9backed Yes | 15c | 16,454$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…9db4backed Yes | 32c | 15,813$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…d1d1backed Yes | 21c | 15,523$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc292…92d8backed Yes | 34c | 15,126$5,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,070.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 19c | 15,068$2,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840.81 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 12c | 14,520$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.19 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 25c | 13,000$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 13c | 12,862$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.83 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…c13ebacked Yes | 15c | 11,177$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd0…0f6abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes | 25c | 9,723$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.22 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 30c | 9,338$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.78 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 24c | 9,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…1115backed Yes | 16c | 8,806$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.36 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbd…a700backed Yes | 13c | 8,478$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f35…4437backed Yes | 10c | 7,496$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.69 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +397.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…4035backed Yes | 12c | 7,309$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.46 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09f5…b88dbacked Yes | 14c | 7,049$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66a…adb0backed Yes | 15c | 6,400$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd7…1778backed Yes | 11c | 6,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa257…ea6ebacked Yes | 26c | 5,922$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 24c | 5,911$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.86 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 2c | 5,642$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 0cpaid | +2,830.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1f…7d0fbacked Yes | 11c | 5,455$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 24c | 5,399$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.52 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…895bbacked Yes | 14c | 5,173$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 25c | 5,018$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.2 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked Yes | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 7c | 5,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaec…8dc8backed Yes | 25c | 5,000$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.99 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…8ec6backed No | 72c | 4,895$3,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 14c | 4,821$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.91 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…6d9ebacked Yes | 27c | 4,801$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.27 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 23c | 4,422$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.24 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +640.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes | 10c | 4,378$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Yes | 10c | 3,860$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d5…709bbacked Yes | 26c | 3,614$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4075…36fdbacked Yes | 13c | 3,598$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed7…c2e0backed Yes | 14c | 3,596$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +212%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 25c | 3,570$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.5 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…ed50backed Yes | 21c | 3,557$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 31c | 3,431$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.46 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 26cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4960…af5cbacked Yes | 15c | 3,428$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 25c | 3,376$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.15 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa95f…2bdbbacked Yes | 10c | 3,333$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.23 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…685abacked Yes | 13c | 3,185$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 3,176$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.81 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 27c | 3,024$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.43 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 16c | 2,730$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.8 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b4…eae4backed Yes | 9c | 2,647$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 10c | 2,637$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…2f89backed Yes | 14c | 2,615$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 19c | 2,605$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.4 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf81…7defbacked Yes | 25c | 2,595$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked Yes | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked No | 74c | 2,400$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.06 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…2a0fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,300$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 25c | 2,297$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.96 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 10c | 2,295$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.46 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe645…345abacked Yes | 23c | 2,265$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…56a1backed Yes | 15c | 2,241$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac49…67c4backed Yes | 14c | 2,231$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed Yes | 29c | 2,192$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.68 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x342e…7e88backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0048…ab1cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,900$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.96 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…87e2backed Yes | 11c | 1,843$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…7befbacked Yes | 27c | 1,838$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…955cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,800$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,800$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…a6e8backed Yes | 31c | 1,797$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 15c | 1,704$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.13 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -74%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec0…8336backed Yes | 11c | 1,679$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +167.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 7c | 1,666$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.38 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 12c | 1,625$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.75 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +223.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 13c | 1,543$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.21 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 26c | 1,505$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.49 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed Yes | 27c | 1,500$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +165%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…1276backed Yes | 13c | 1,489$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55c4…4b34backed Yes | 14c | 1,480$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.74 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,471$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.59 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 27c | 1,400$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 14c | 1,385$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.07 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?this page
- Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will Volt Netherlands win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.