TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf1f9…1245

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
878
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT18036.7%66 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 180 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.28
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$5,801Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,801.25
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37,807Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$26,552.88
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19,480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$7,497.81
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$5,288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,287.87
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,082.02
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.46
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$5,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,346.34
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$4,674Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,673.72
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,760.36
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,038Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$3,476.87
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.02
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$569.98
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.94
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$969.99
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,557Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+146.2%+$2,276.44
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.63
Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.22
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,569Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$5,280
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10,766Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$2,976.83
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$894.13
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,462Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,461.99
Showing 25 of 180 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST14940.9%61 W · 88 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 149 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$35
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+42.9%+$600
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,391.43
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19,219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+27.6%+$5,310.74
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$582.76
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$901.12
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,576Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$5,576.23
US forces in Venezuela by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$560
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$34.41
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$724Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+170.3%+$1,232.86
Will Trump cut taxes on high earners in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$84
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$520
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20,072Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8,191.96
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$709.02
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$766Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$766.08
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+38.9%+$140
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,462Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+53%+$774.37
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,269Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,268.63
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11,618Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11,618.02
Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$219
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,185Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$314.99
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,437Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,437.14
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,350
Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by between 40% and 45%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$856Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$856.22
Showing 25 of 149 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT13746%63 W · 74 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 137 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$875Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$874.98
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,272.48
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$9,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$6,200
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$2,899.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23,260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$15,054.88
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,525Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$606.06
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$976
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$8,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,756.52
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,992.52
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.75
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.12
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,076Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,076.38
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$656.85
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+118%+$1,570
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24,297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,296.78
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,575Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$925
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,677Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,676.6
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,679Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,679.32
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$3,549.99
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$185
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11,558Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,557.94
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12,164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$8,335.66
Showing 25 of 137 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT5637.5%21 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.79
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,271Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$729
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,582Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$505.05
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.81
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,097.55
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.68
Will Powell say "Percent" 20+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.67
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,415.05
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,407.96
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$952.11
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$3,182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$3,181.56
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,696.14
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50,398Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+48.1%+$24,249.22
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+426.3%+$82.02
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$2,183
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$4,057.66
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,460Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.5%+$1,540
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$4,720
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT5044%22 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$577.97
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,878Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$967.35
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,121Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$2,417.87
Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,257.6
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,526Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,526.44
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$674.07
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,835Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,834.77
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$8,550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+102.9%+$8,800.78
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,309Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+143.2%+$6,169.28
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$979Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+127.5%+$1,248.02
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.7
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+103.1%+$276.75
California redistricting referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+40.8%+$580
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,028Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+607.5%+$12,320.94
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,402Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,402.48
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$420
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 15%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$571.39
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,630Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+51.6%+$2,905.76
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$153
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,090.09
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$69.35
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,726Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+45.7%+$3,074.23
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST4454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,626Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+117.7%+$5,444.47
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$7,407Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+65.5%+$4,850.21
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11,789Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+53.2%+$6,266.95
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$1,564.1
Will Donald Trump say "DOGE" or "Department of Governmental Efficiency" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+84.9%+$192.15
Will Donald Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+26.6%+$54.7
Will Donald Trump say "Bills" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$67.8
Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+87%+$98.94
Will Donald Trump say "Israel" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+122.2%+$165
Will Donald Trump say "Eagles" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$24.25
Will Elon Musk attend Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+733.3%+$90.24
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$292.64
Will Donald Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$464.86
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$504.47
Will Saquon Barkley rush for 2,000 yards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+31.6%+$83.88
Scorigami in NFL Week 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Cooper Kupp get traded before the deadline?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+255.2%+$215.55
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$150
Chargers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+100%+$200
Ravens vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$185.5
Broncos vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$200
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$240
Bengals vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$285
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT4151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.2
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,765Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,765
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.98
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,198.44
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$728.71
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,660Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$740
Will Trump say "Build your own" or "Make your own" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+49.4%+$115.63
Will Trump say "Big Tech" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$215.6
Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$824.55
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$206.46
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+258.4%+$41.34
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
X relaunches Vine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+44.6%+$545.5
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$140
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85.55
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+46.3%+$474.99
Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$155.6
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,155Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+81.8%+$945
Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$98.98
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$3,200
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+100.4%+$1,122.19
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$927Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+44.2%+$409.46
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,120
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT3043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.58
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,031.35
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$1,000
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$41.08
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$375
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,981Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$695.9
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,319.99
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$6,490.1
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$909Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$909.33
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,513Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+118.5%+$1,792.32
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+49.3%+$34.15
Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$248.42
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+25.7%+$123.4
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,878Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$519.52
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$675
Will 'Nickel Boys' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+40.5%+$51.34
Will 'Wicked' win the Golden Globe for Best Musical or Comedy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will 'Anora' win the Golden Globe for Best Musical or Comedy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+143.9%+$90.09
Will Nicole Kidman win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.6
Will 'Conclave' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$19.65
Will Glen Powell win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Jesse Eisenberg win the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Movie - Musical or Comedy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.82
Will Ariana Grande win the Golden Globe for Best Supporting Actress - Motion Picture?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$138
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST2759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+79%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$540.5
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,566.81
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$344.47
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,637Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$2,636.51
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$845Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+49.7%+$419.96
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$137
Russia announces air truce by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,576Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+71.7%+$1,130.57
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$747.6
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$900
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$286.51
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,043.77
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+138.2%+$475
Nothing Ever Happens backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.68
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+98.7%+$447
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$9,087Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+39.9%+$3,627.54
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+46.2%+$205.03
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$238.97
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+366.6%+$1,571.33
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" 5+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+1,566.7%+$762
Will Donald Trump say "Crimea" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+33.7%+$27.96
Will Donald Trump say "Dictator" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.71
Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+66.7%+$65.83
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by next Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+488.2%+$149
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$176
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.13
Marlins vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$443.4
Mets vs. Brewersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
Guardians vs. White Soxbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$516.75
Marlins vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Marlins vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$605
Rays vs. Angelsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$480
Padres vs. Diamondbacksbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$923.08
Rays vs. Angelsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$933Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$1,010.75
Guardians vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$425
Rays vs. Angelsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$960
MLB All-Star Gamebacked American League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,170
Will Jersey Jerry complete the Immaculate Inning Challenge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$49.31
Will there be at least 1 run scored in the first inning?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.41
Will there be at least 1 run scored in the first inning?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+96.1%+$21.21
Will there be at least 1 run scored in the first inning?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Kansas City Royals win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.28
NLDS: Padres vs. Dodgers Game 3backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$78.54
NLDS: Mets vs. Phillies Game 3backed Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$204
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$22.41
All 22 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST2128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$833Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$833.33
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,908.17
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$6,961Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$6,960.92
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$245
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$650
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$614.57
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,478Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+31.6%+$467.28
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,570Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+59.2%+$930
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,838Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,838.07
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,384.74
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,797Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+99.2%+$3,768.23
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $5-10b one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$11
OpenSea token market cap (FDV) <$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.36
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $3-5b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $1-3b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.3
OpenSea airdrop before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+335.9%+$204.17
Farcaster airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will Dave Portnoy launch a coin before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$179.51
Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20.28
Will $Fartcoin hit $1b FDV in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$25.6
$PENGU market cap (FDV) $1-2b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 21 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$7,948Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,947.98
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.71
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,700
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.99
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$4,971Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,971.18
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,650
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$980
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$788.06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,571Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+124%+$4,428.98
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$554.99
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$705
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$1,864
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+266.2%+$1,560.39
All 15 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$909Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$644.9
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$159.39
Lana Del Rey divorce in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.4%+$15.9
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$373.75
Selena Gomez married in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.98
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get less than 5m views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$509.25
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get more than 15m views on day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,996Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+43.1%+$860.9
Will Taylor Swift say "Album" 5+ times during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Taylor Swift say "Baby" during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$359
Will Playboi Carti release “I AM MUSIC” by June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Kendrick Lamar be named the Billboard Greatest artist of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+204%+$206.88
Will Sabrina Carpenter be named the Billboard Greatest artist of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$67.85
Will Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+354.5%+$78
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick9cpaid-29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,200.4
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.56
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.47
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$758.31
Will Vanderbilt win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.06
Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+403.5%+$1,234.86
Will Michigan State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.9
Will Maryland win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.55
Will Clemson win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.92
All 10 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,244Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+69.5%+$863.72
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,183
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+212.5%+$680
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,480
Will Jake Paul fight Logan Paul next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$246.34
Will Fury beat Usyk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$240
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+85.2%+$92
Will Oleksandr Usyk KO Tyson Fury?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+37.3%+$42.49
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+42%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-41.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+75.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2024, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+65.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$430
US Open: Swiatek vs. Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2024, EDT+95.8%+$262.96
Zverev vs. Fritz - US Openbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2024, EDT+35.3%+$353.16
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$253.07
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$777.78
Will Trump attend UFC 319?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,903Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+26.7%+$507.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+194.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+488.2%+$498
Will Bournemouth beat Southampton?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$450.83
$MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$72.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,329.99
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,899.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid beat LOSC Lille?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+127.3%+$56
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CS: Astralis vs Legacybacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$460
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,807Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+54.2%+$1,520.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+25%+$105.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.