TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf797…0bf2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,296
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 61 out of 100; worst World Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT18745.5%85 W · 102 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 187 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+46%+$314.99
Epstein "I beat Bush" Email unredacted by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$14.12
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$539.1
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+46%+$315
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$5,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$5,074.6
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$166.99
Will Trump’s approval rating be 46.0–47.9% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Trump’s approval rating be 42.0–43.9% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+308%+$391.95
Will Trump’s approval rating be 40.0–41.9% on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,925.07
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–45.9% on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,708Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.8%+$474.6
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$236.99
Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of sexual misconduct?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.7
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+67.4%+$132.01
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$44.01
Will Trump create a DOGE dividend in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$93
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.3%+$79.8
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 29, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+72.4%+$84
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+52.2%+$1,100.43
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+77.5%+$158.46
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$269.95
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+104.1%+$119.6
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Next Mayor" during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+192.8%+$342.88
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Subway" during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+156.4%+$121.99
Showing 25 of 187 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT16541.2%68 W · 97 L+0.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 165 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,219.99
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,919Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+36%+$1,409.13
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,633Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$3,636.37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,675.22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,404Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+175.8%+$9,500.33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,795Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$10,189.9
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$6,118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+301.3%+$18,431.42
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,789.95
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$1,375.74
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$429.99
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,771Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$529
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$853Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$853.33
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$879Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+168.8%+$1,483.71
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$4,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,023.7
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$93.77
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,899.99
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,024.97
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,180
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$74.02
Showing 25 of 165 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT12941.1%53 W · 76 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 129 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Echo of History" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.06
Will Warsh say "Innovation" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,702Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$797.72
Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.57
Will Warsh say "Recession" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.27
Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$46.79
Will Warsh say "Iran" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.17
Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$155
Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$18.26
Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+203%+$44.76
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$40.88
Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.34
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$370.31
Will Warsh say "Dollar" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$316.8
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.79
Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.51
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,613Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$1,494.51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,579.61
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.46
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+277.4%+$734.99
Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$120.06
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$25.03
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.38
Will Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,238.2
Will Powell say "Data Center" during April press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+155.3%+$310.93
Showing 25 of 129 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT12636.5%46 W · 80 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 126 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.78
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.59
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.54
SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?backed Tesla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$976.53
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.66
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,883Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,883.08
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.45
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$871Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$871.05
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.77
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.84
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$357.18
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+271.9%+$3,520.17
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+557.4%+$1,896.39
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$447.98
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+368.4%+$1,287.89
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.12
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$153.68
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$134.99
Grok 4.20 released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$106.33
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$156
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+55.4%+$402.74
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+207.3%+$985.73
Showing 25 of 126 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT12534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 125 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$571Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+184.5%+$1,053.73
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+146.3%+$476.99
Will Luan Santana attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$278.22
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$329.99
Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$618.59
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$818Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$484.1
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$766Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+192.5%+$1,473.83
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,928Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,927.61
Will the announcers say "Goal" 75+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$230.72
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.84
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55.58
Will the announcers say "GOAT" or "Greatest Of All Time" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.57
Will the announcers say "Bieber" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$273.89
Will the announcers say "Gianni" or "Infantino" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+1,047.9%+$1,390.08
Will the announcers say "Foul" 12+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.3
Will the announcers say "Ticket" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+262.2%+$1,187.46
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$348.2
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" 5+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.96
Will the announcers say "Shakira" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$67.16
Will the announcers say "What a Strike" or "What a Finish" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$331.66
Will the announcers say "Tom Cruise" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$246.75
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$636.99
Will the announcers say "Lenovo" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$128.94
Showing 25 of 125 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT9627.1%26 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will King Charles say "King" or "Kingdom" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will King Charles say "250" or "250th" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will King Charles say "American" or "America" 15+ times during the joint meeting of Congress?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.18
Will King Charles say "Ukraine" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Will King Charles say "NATO" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.07
US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$169.37
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$1,047.39
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$690
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.2
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.63
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$565.28
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.4
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$686.29
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+194.1%+$66
Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$390.07
Will PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,458Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,457.51
Will D66 win the fewest seats in the next Netherlands General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$377.21
Will VVD win the fewest seats in the next Netherlands General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$58.72
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$467.88
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$17.69
Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$60.53
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT7241.7%30 W · 42 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.65
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+274.1%+$38,101.08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+2,400%+$10,777.1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17,668Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+590.6%+$104,346.54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.86
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14,406Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,405.83
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,120
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$350
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$143.99
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+194.5%+$778.64
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,782Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,782.08
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 6–10 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+44.9%+$38.33
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 2–6 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$419.64
Will Donald Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+177.8%+$17.92
Will Donald Trump say "Biden's war" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
Will Donald Trump say "Tomahawk" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.11
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$127.55
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40.95
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$164.85
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$122.5
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+58.7%+$36.05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$265.23
Andrii Yermak arrested by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$32.42
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT5133.3%17 W · 34 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$7,886Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,885.98
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$7,898Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,897.72
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$620
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$14.1
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$524.24
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$39.26
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.04
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$655.33
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$723.89
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$156.31
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.03
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.78
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,284.8
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$6,148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,147.69
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+167.7%+$671.92
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.92
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,636Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$1,705.59
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.55
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 400M by June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT4131.7%13 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick25cpaid-21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,436Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+164.1%+$3,998.74
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$741.4
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,169.99
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.33
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be at least 2.50T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.94
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.25T and 2.50T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.99
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.63
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.1
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.63
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.03
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.51
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+117.3%+$30.23
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.54
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.17
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.01
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$3,031Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+310.9%+$9,423.47
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$563.29
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,034.02
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3953.8%21 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+76.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.2
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,169Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+111.1%+$1,298.28
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$61.56
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25.5%+$30.5
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+35.4%+$109.21
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15,236Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+34.6%+$5,273.13
Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$205.3
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$46.91
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+455.6%+$4,100
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$641Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+822%+$5,271.53
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,174Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+1,642.4%+$35,712.02
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,607Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+107.2%+$7,079.38
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$393.23
Will Trump say "Border" 3+ times at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+455.6%+$87.44
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+55.7%+$77.88
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,970Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+34.7%+$1,030
Odds of Maduro out by March 31 on Friday over 40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$35
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17.64
Odds of Maduro out in 2025 Over 25% by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$66
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$222.68
Odds of Maduro out in 2025 Under 15% by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+488.2%+$415
Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday over 50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT3531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-27.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$65.58
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,030Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$900.8
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.82
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.52
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-09 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.29
Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
Will Yi Wei win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+54%+$352.59
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$340
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$162
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$700.17
Will Anish Giri win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+762.1%+$442
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.07
Will Matthias Bluebaum win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+42.4%+$71.13
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Will Parham Maghsoodloo win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+33.6%+$330
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+57.7%+$168.36
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$516.7
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.05
Will Anish Giri win the 2025 Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.57
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$227.99
Will Dommaraju Gukesh win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.63
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.78
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.78
Will "Trump" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+116.4%+$207.9
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,100.9
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$253
Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$293.09
Will Mike Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$250.26
Will Max Mayfield die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$214.71
Will Lucas Sinclair die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$105.52
Will Holly Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$89.33
Will Joyce Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$30.72
Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$536.24
Will Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$182.97
Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$211.69
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$547.97
"The Witcher: Season 4" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 60 and 74?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+84.7%+$60.6
"The Witcher: Season 4" Rotten Tomatoes score is 75 or higher?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.6
Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $16m and $19m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.5
Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19m and $22m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$186
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $17m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$126
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $17m and $20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$23.3
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.31
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $125-135m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$210
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $145m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$322.31
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $115-125m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+1,692.7%+$1,552.76
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.83
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.45
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.41
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$399.81
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.26
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$157.84
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$152
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+238.3%+$1,182.9
Will Chainlink dip to $15 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$172.97
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$953Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$246.18
Will Bitcoin dip to $110k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$177
Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$96
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$389.97
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$82
Will Bitcoin reach $117K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$84
Bitcoin all time high before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$87.64
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$397.39
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-47%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,850Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$1,149.98
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,849Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,848.96
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.98
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,700
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
FIFA Club World Cup: 200+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Vinicius Junior score another goal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+149.3%+$110.1
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$209.98
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Messi score another goal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+44.4%+$177.25
Auckland City vs. Boca Juniors: 6+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+36.5%+$87.78
Benfica vs. Auckland City: 7+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$136.5
Will one total goal be scored in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Will Ousmane Dembélé score a goal in the 2025 Champions League Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$72
Will zero total goals be scored in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$154
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.7
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.85
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madridbacked Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$194.99
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.43
Champions League Quarterfinals: PSG vs. Aston Villabacked Aston Villa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 24 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+101.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatanibacked Nakatani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.19
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.77
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+900%+$8,189.98
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+257.1%+$935.99
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,228Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,228.48
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,260.22
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$749.46
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.4m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$32.83
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$442.99
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$684
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$872Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+525.1%+$4,577.98
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$114.99
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$45.29
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+2,148.5%+$1,540.43
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$70.05
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+31.3%+$106.95
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50.1
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$90.54
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,183Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+26.6%+$314.38
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$206.24
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
All 23 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$81
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,570Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$1,430
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.18
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$20
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be less than 25 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$338.74
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 100 and 124 points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,015Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$1,978.05
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.09
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$907Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$907.24
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$281.18
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+191.5%+$328.5
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$325
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 23 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$375.11
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 22 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$493.97
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+193.1%+$497.18
Will Sabrina Carpenter say "Manchild" during SNL appearance on October 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get less than 5m views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.92
Will Taylor Swift say "Travis" 10+ times during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$46.17
Will Taylor Swift say "Album" 5+ times during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22
Taylor Swift announces new original album by September 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.5
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$83.99
Will Playboi Carti release “I AM MUSIC” by June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick32cpaid-3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$150
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+263.3%+$285.18
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$238.88
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$315.32
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$56.64
Will Elon Musk post 100-109 tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.67
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Elon tweet between 1050 and 1099 times September 1–30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+41%+$58.2
Will Elon tweet 215–229 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Elon Musk tweets 35+ times Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.07
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$32.06
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$245
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.94
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+163.6%+$940.68
All 18 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palantir say "Healthcare" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.4
Will Procter & Gamble say "Customer" 5+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,444.19
Will Boeing say "Dividend" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.66
Will Boeing say "Tariff" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$538.34
Will PayPal say "Agentic Commerce" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+98%+$169.51
Will Boeing say "Guidance" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.26
Will Boeing say "Space" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$341.47
Will PayPal say "Anthropic" or "Claude" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$22
Will PayPal say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will anyone say "Antitrust" during the Q2 2025 Meta earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$15
Will anyone say "Maverick" during the Q2 2025 Meta earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+37.7%+$26.59
Will anyone say "Cybersecurity" during the Q4 2025 Microsoft earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick39cpaid+118.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40.41
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+114.1%+$681.7
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+331%+$356.74
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$788.21
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$65.39
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+669.2%+$2,609.99
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,388Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+60%+$2,032.87
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$210
Dogecoin above $0.17 on March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$102
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.15 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$512
All 10 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.36per pick42cpaid+103.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,976Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+93%+$1,837.59
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,894Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$1,255.18
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+268.2%+$1,401.76
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+204.1%+$603.96
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$323.19
Trump x Xi talk before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.79
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 75% and 100% on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$19.47
China bans US films in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$20.81
All 9 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-66%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-77.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 60% and 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$91.35
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$148.58
Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$22.55
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$199
Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+59.8%+$13.1
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 11% and 12% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 7 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+71.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+46.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$248.84
Will Trump attend UFC 318?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+170.3%+$630
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2025 May hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$597.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.