Champions League · resolved market
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bc371880426be02eff09f3f764aad869b79162c74ed9d2c30978b433a432c4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PSGof PSG, Bayern
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $643,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $852,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $643,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed PSG | 57c | 96,063$54,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,339.2 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…0426backed PSG | 58c | 66,069$38,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,007.34 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Bayern | 43c | 38,251$16,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,447.87 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d1…4e28backed Bayern | 46c | 37,630$17,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,308.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Bayern | 42c | 36,274$15,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,176.25 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Bayern | 43c | 32,791$14,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,171.41 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Bayern | 2c | 28,077$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.58 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Bayern | 43c | 19,500$8,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,385 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Bayern | 42c | 14,237$5,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,954.23 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed PSG | 59c | 14,129$8,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,731.76 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Bayern | 43c | 12,287$5,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,283.41 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed PSG | 56c | 9,776$5,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,286.11 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bayern | 40c | 9,606$3,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,842.5 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a7…2ecabacked PSG | 56c | 8,847$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,866.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Bayern | 44c | 8,819$3,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,845.12 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Bayern | 45c | 8,740$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933.09 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…28bdbacked Bayern | 43c | 7,297$3,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,137.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Bayern | 44c | 7,246$3,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,196.87 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked PSG | 56c | 7,143$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.86 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed PSG | 79c | 5,288$4,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.65 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Bayern | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Bayern | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea4…476dbacked PSG | 60c | 4,780$2,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.74 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bayern | 43c | 4,283$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.17 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed PSG | 57c | 4,166$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.72 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x210d…a85cbacked PSG | 58c | 3,447$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Bayern | 43c | 3,211$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.39 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed Bayern | 42c | 3,146$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.92 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…b6cebacked Bayern | 46c | 2,990$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bayern | 35c | 2,715$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.58 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb41…1fffbacked PSG | 52c | 2,427$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +139%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Bayern | 36c | 2,365$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.89 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bayern | 43c | 2,349$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.79 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bayern | 45c | 2,338$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.28 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa56…f232backed PSG | 57c | 2,292$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed PSG | 55c | 2,245$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bayern | 43c | 2,050$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Bayern | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…51e9backed Bayern | 29c | 1,977$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked PSG | 57c | 1,961$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.4 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Bayern | 44c | 1,818$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.13 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5f…cbbfbacked Bayern | 18c | 1,712$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed PSG | 55c | 1,625$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Bayern | 18c | 1,523$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.21 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…22f9backed PSG | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Bayern | 43c | 1,409$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.87 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Bayern | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Bayern | 46c | 1,384$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Bayern | 43c | 1,372$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.91 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Bayern | 43c | 1,250$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.5 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed PSG | 58c | 1,231$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.06 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked PSG | 68c | 1,229$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.49 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed PSG | 58c | 1,227$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.37 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Bayern | 44c | 1,217$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked PSG | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Bayern | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…16d9backed PSG | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked PSG | 59c | 1,048$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.89 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Bayern | 2c | 1,047$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…3fdebacked PSG | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked PSG | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bayern | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9cafbacked PSG | 58c | 959$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Bayern | 40c | 955$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed PSG | 56c | 932.87$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.46 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked PSG | 58c | 924.97$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.49 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…fe58backed PSG | 56c | 904.11$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.81 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 60cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Bayern | 53c | 900.14$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.6 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fa…055abacked PSG | 58c | 883.28$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.98 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea2…eec9backed PSG | 58c | 864.02$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Bayern | 25c | 804.42$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.76 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd1…1798backed PSG | 53c | 800$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Bayern | 48c | 796.4$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…80fdbacked PSG | 56c | 755.93$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked PSG | 56c | 743.18$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Bayern | 41c | 737.1$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.58 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Bayern | 42c | 736.84$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.34 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked PSG | 57c | 711.61$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.48 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Bayern | 43c | 695$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.85 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Bayern | 43c | 686.98$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.4 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Bayern | 44c | 681.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.08 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…0874backed PSG | 57c | 649.12$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed PSG | 56c | 626$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.44 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Bayern | 45c | 596.4$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.87 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed PSG | 58c | 594.81$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.72 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…4f69backed Bayern | 52c | 575.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…ef93backed Bayern | 43c | 556.97$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141e…8c87backed PSG | 59c | 546.8$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.88 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Bayern | 39c | 541.85$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Bayern | 46c | 539.85$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked PSG | 52c | 528$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.44 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Bayern | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Bayern | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd175…bb3abacked PSG | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed PSG | 58c | 499.96$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.98 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaa…7688backed PSG | 58c | 487.34$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.68 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…8bacbacked PSG | 79c | 479.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed PSG | 56c | 476.79$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.79 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed PSG | 42c | 476.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.43 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed PSG | 54c | 471.64$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.95 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.