TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x736f…d0c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
161
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: World Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST5453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,399.63
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+50.9%+$152.84
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$80
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$114
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$204
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+51.5%+$30.91
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+316.7%+$95
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+25.1%+$125.45
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$80
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+63.9%+$20.46
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$60
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+86.2%+$688.43
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO1)backed Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+86.6%+$346.54
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO1)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$160
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$245.45
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33.99
LoL: DRX vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+104.8%+$146.75
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+78.6%+$62.86
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$43.08
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT3265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+24.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,203Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$769.27
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$172
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$404.56
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$141.82
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,124Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+50.6%+$2,593.26
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$720
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$881.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$158.89
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$855
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,350.24
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+143.9%+$43.17
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+69.5%+$420.25
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$116
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$518
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$18.24
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$117.86
Will Benfica vs. Fenerbahçe end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+138.2%+$276.43
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+48.6%+$126.09
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Juventus (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$161.54
FIFA Club World Cup: Manchester City vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)backed Al Hilal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Manchester City vs. Al Hilal: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)backed Bayern Munich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$100
Al Hilal vs. Pachuca: 4+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,300
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+42.2%+$506.1
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$678
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+37%+$221.38
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,731Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$2,730.54
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$507
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$77.61
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,002Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$667.22
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$511.48
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$49.75
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+34.9%+$349.06
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$196
Will Liverpool vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$18.62
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+83%+$165.9
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$91.94
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$414
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$404.07
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,182Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$2,328.29
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$110.53
Will Liverpool vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$845.81
All 24 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$315
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$900
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$106.59
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$902Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$901.95
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+85.2%+$143.11
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$53.9
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,480Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+40%+$992.29
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,123Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+41.4%+$465.26
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$128
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$200
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,241Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$871.5
Will Rayo Vallecano vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+100%+$200
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,997Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$1,594.25
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick61cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+91.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$238.6
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+48.4%+$15.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$146.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.