TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$803,018
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$851,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $803,018 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6fdb…7ea3backed Yes66c218,645$145,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145,159.141952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked No35c144,093$50,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,526.064153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes66c99,126$65,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,232.596357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No34c78,541$26,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,210.3310357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No35c43,276$15,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,062.3530851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked No35c38,596$13,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,051.872941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0b…4908backed Yes65c38,458$24,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,997.49933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes65c35,961$23,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,199.963050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No35c34,952$12,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,718.820140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes67c31,495$21,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,014.1414544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No34c27,935$9,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,437.2910236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed No34c24,617$8,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,154.82853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed No34c20,317$6,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,409.222857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No35c20,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,999.9724846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes65c15,378$9,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.3618948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No33c13,354$4,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,913.3617958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked No33c13,000$4,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,709.814045%18 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75a1…693fbacked Yes67c12,902$8,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,644.651758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes33c12,608$4,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,153.439242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes3c11,542$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.225329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No43c11,521$4,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,588.4579639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed No45c11,125$5,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,098.436860.3%41 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No36c10,341$3,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,664.8322744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes64c10,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4009646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No35c8,774$3,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,696.0331944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No33c8,527$2,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,711.2679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe852…0235backed Yes67c8,057$5,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,384.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Yes65c7,839$5,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,095.542429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-44.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Yes16c6,705$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.184339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No33c6,500$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,35535652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No34c5,409$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,570.0515949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No43c5,089$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,902.1220744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No34c5,000$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,300.2222050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes65c5,000$3,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2253834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No36c3,360$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.3956453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Yes67c3,207$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.692867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes64c3,125$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.9717833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ff1…2890backed Yes65c2,978$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No36c2,917$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.8824566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Yes27c2,914$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.217248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes48c2,790$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.3737840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes10c2,542$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.1413727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes47c2,467$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.8129044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked No34c2,336$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.876450%32 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No73c1,974$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.0769772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9a2b…411bbacked Yes66c1,970$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9c…e860backed Yes24c1,793$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.68666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes66c1,715$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1324447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes67c1,711$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.5412037.5%45 W · 75 L-15.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Yes67c1,673$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.862236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0a0…dab5backed No39c1,648$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.23728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed No33c1,600$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0723652.8%19 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+269.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9386…fdfebacked Yes66c1,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9902774.1%20 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes67c1,500$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0054766%31 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96068026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes67c1,493$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed No68c1,158$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.845451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes40c1,135$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.2144939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes64c1,111$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.0426444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed No34c1,073$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.951637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No45c1,042$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.9230666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No33c1,016$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.0340046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No33c999.98$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.9819735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes14c943.25$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.889111%10 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x132e…c724backed No61c909$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.933050%15 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed No34c900$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5947844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Yes66c900$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5946147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes61c893.84$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.247835.9%28 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes67c885.39$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.213161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfcf…a26ebacked Yes11c883.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002030%6 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-46.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No34c860$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.6483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No36c834.22$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.929751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes64c787.5$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes65c769.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007841%32 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f6…c600backed Yes65c767.68$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.9940%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fb4…2e88backed Yes67c746.1$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c5…0166backed Yes6c729.41$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.941118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-75.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No34c700$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4627149.3%35 W · 36 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed No34c692$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.282860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+63.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54a1…7cb1backed Yes66c679.68$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.591154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes59c658.88$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.221153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x736f…d0c5backed Yes63c657.14$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4142462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes64c642.19$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4116741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66ed…5e32backed Yes63c634.34$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b0…529bbacked Yes64c625$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7d5…8a19backed Yes61c615.84$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Yes66c609.99$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.53043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87e3…cf99backed Yes68c577.57$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.741553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8cc…7b16backed Yes3c576.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed No58c574.49$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.493857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes67c565$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.156,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes66c540.37$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.443948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No34c535.1$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.0227454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed No61c529.79$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.2921463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bdd…aa2dbacked Yes4c516.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211225%3 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+36%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Yes66c515.14$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.99450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes64c469.53$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019336.8%71 W · 122 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.