TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9386…fdfe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
227
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,350
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,917Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$1,924.66
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$700
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$840.52
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,260
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$624
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$640
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,519.97
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,719.99
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$915
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+164.8%+$1,228.38
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,286.13
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$682.58
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$783.76
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,126.08
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,460Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$539.99
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.99
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$420
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,528Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,106.15
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,239.99
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,520
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,836Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+29.9%+$548.39
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT3754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$600
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,140
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$1,420
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$855
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,460Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$540
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$420
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.32
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will Gen.G win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,349.94
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,860
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$780
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,334.03
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$810
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,200
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,400
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,428Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$952
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,140
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+26.6%+$420
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$600
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.2%+$660
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,480
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2774.1%20 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$555
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$820
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$810
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$700
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$2,310
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,460Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$540
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$660
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25%+$400
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+354.5%+$2,340
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$675
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,054Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+26.6%+$546
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$756
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$480
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$530
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,840Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+35.9%+$660.25
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$580
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$785.18
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$744
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$435
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$479.99
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+102.9%+$555.39
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$912Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+119.3%+$1,088
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$380
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$750
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$990
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-40%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$2,800
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,400
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$480
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,691Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,691.02
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$420
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.86
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$380
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$580
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$569.98
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200.28
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$1,362.26
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,575
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,172.13
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+26.6%+$419.99
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$611.99
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$881Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+70.2%+$618.58
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$540
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$470
Will FURIA win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+42.9%+$600
Will Vitality win the BLAST Open London 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$330
Will Spirit win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$420
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,768Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,768.11
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,075
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+215%+$1,074.8
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$620
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$670
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,339.99
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$885
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$561
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,600
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,173.91
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33,661Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$13,687.9
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,299.17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,990Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$1,400.88
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,606Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$1,744.14
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,129.9
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,050Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,950
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,259.97
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11,592Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$3,407.69
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,140
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$3,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,180
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$880
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$790
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,310
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$612.9
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,232Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$723.57
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,350
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$580
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,860Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,140
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,575
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,560
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$420
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,918Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$1,175.27
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,756.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$494.39
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$460
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$900
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$579.99
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,560
Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,008
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,660Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$840
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$600
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick72cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+320.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.47per pick67cpaid-70.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+117.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$870
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Connecticut Huskies (W)backed South Carolina Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+258.5%+$1,379.71
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,089Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+273.6%+$2,978.93
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,430Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$556.05
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+45.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$640
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$440
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$468
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$968Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$967.88
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+85.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,427Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,427.4
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. BetBoom Teambacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+62.5%+$446
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+128.9%+$649.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Las Vegas Aces win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,535Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+77.5%+$1,964.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,673Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+38.3%+$1,023.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,875Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$625
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,471Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$1,361.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,495Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$641.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$702.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.