TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof Spirit, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,510,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,048,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,510,297 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,035 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Spirit48c270,014$129,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129,012.7621051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked FURIA45c218,476$98,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120,161.8939249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d61…12f6backed Spirit57c179,446$102,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,232.411553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked FURIA43c164,822$70,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,008.8742440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed FURIA42c142,779$59,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,812.18243.9%36 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Spirit58c85,000$49,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,299.92245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked FURIA61c41,371$25,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,977.213265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fe1…4d7fbacked Spirit58c36,932$21,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,420.765641.1%23 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA64c33,656$21,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,020.0583652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Spirit28c33,446$9,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,517.023,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Spirit19c31,659$6,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,038.856147.5%29 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Spirit57c31,444$17,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,923.3311146.8%52 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed FURIA42c30,000$12,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,30041649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe8…3549backed FURIA43c30,000$12,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,15013954.7%76 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Spirit35c28,571$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00013633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed Spirit55c26,938$14,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,90012649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed Spirit19c26,593$5,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,129.2318056.7%102 W · 78 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa090…9854backed Spirit17c26,218$4,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,466.127238.9%28 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit42c25,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,599.9976657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Spirit44c24,910$11,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,048.1160540%242 W · 363 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked FURIA78c24,380$19,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,379.748758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed FURIA43c22,677$9,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,926.1245848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Spirit56c22,140$12,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,398.661752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed FURIA46c21,797$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,796.6423839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Spirit56c20,241$11,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,334.997363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked FURIA42c20,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,60015245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Spirit53c17,515$9,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,221.3767041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Spirit35c16,851$5,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,90529851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e9…2ab6backed Spirit20c16,425$3,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,259.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16c…d7f4backed FURIA69c13,086$9,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,034.23839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked FURIA42c12,582$5,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,351.889349.5%46 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Spirit55c12,456$6,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,796.0212653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Spirit15c12,395$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,901.4414441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed FURIA44c12,000$5,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,779.9175550.6%382 W · 373 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed FURIA43c11,875$5,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,768.7437946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed Spirit58c11,437$6,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,688.7611241.1%46 W · 66 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Spirit56c10,081$5,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,610.4712648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfadc…e474backed Spirit1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed FURIA43c10,000$4,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,719.9172046.1%332 W · 388 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Spirit54c9,532$5,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,147.172453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Spirit55c9,034$4,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,968.683435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA43c9,000$3,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,09081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98cd…61f9backed Spirit55c8,921$4,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,882.821526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-51%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Spirit18c8,834$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.7522927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed FURIA49c8,669$4,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,44119645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Spirit29c8,557$2,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,470.932,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Spirit59c8,475$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00022654.9%124 W · 102 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed FURIA44c8,448$3,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,747.0622448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Spirit14c8,248$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.4627133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Spirit20c8,054$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-70.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed FURIA42c8,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6403158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked FURIA44c7,915$3,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,396.21,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked FURIA43c7,410$3,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,223.9320539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Spirit55c7,273$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc736…7255backed FURIA61c7,039$4,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,727.471442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked FURIA45c6,888$3,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,776.912736.2%46 W · 81 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Spirit48c6,864$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3004548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fd9…3373backed Spirit59c6,751$3,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,979.496752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3532…3711backed FURIA65c6,521$4,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.575058%29 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Spirit58c6,504$3,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,772.477965.8%52 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked FURIA42c6,500$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,77028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4035…5f2cbacked Spirit54c6,300$3,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,403.561030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-57.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd8f…20abbacked FURIA64c6,093$3,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.213557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d1d…8b42backed FURIA42c5,956$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,441.721566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed Spirit33c5,755$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.412955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Spirit27c5,591$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.041,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Spirit58c5,555$3,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,221.946949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed FURIA43c5,500$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,13519455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7623…8390backed FURIA44c5,382$2,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,004.191984.2%16 W · 3 L+5.3wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+43.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Spirit17c5,339$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9322937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed FURIA45c5,333$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,933.3311940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spirit36c5,087$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.963,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA65c5,060$3,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.271,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Spirit57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8505947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked FURIA46c4,585$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,484.5527452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked Spirit34c4,500$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.515455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef50…e3bdbacked Spirit43c4,483$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.051533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Spirit58c4,306$2,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.4910043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Spirit58c4,241$2,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,469.1765950.4%332 W · 327 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked FURIA42c4,008$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,324.5614934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a8c…f872backed FURIA43c3,864$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.5617954.7%98 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked Spirit55c3,775$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.1419834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c6…1c37backed FURIA47c3,769$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.8311937.8%45 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA65c3,632$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.581,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Spirit38c3,543$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.86,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Spirit58c3,540$2,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,053.196544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked Spirit57c3,535$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.1811241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x845a…c09bbacked FURIA44c3,524$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.271060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA54c3,523$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.691,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Spirit55c3,455$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90025361.3%155 W · 98 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked FURIA45c3,400$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,87015441.6%64 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78e0…375bbacked Spirit47c3,392$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.93231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Spirit57c3,319$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.7515050.7%76 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Spirit49c3,271$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.0913065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Spirit35c3,162$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.6161228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Spirit56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.987055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Spirit12c2,976$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3723330.3%10 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Spirit58c2,847$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,66035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA63c2,819$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.012,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed FURIA42c2,800$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.0297240.7%396 W · 576 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.