CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86704eee2ae170d10044df7286f21efb7a1a33b6c4f6448c0257dddc4cf2a590
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, FURIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $402,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $475,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $402,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1976…e363backed FURIA | 0c | 105,152$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spirit | 43c | 28,315$12,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,007.08 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed FURIA | 58c | 22,486$13,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,041.88 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked FURIA | 26c | 14,241$3,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,708.51 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Spirit | 62c | 13,291$8,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,109.12 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA | 27c | 7,318$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.81 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed FURIA | 52c | 6,467$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,367.69 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Spirit | 60c | 6,229$3,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.7 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d7f4backed FURIA | 51c | 5,619$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.36 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…9854backed FURIA | 28c | 5,523$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.94 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.75 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked FURIA | 40c | 4,994$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.44 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spirit | 51c | 4,861$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.01 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA | 35c | 4,763$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.28 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit | 58c | 4,668$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.65 | 757 | 58.3%441 W · 316 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed FURIA | 41c | 3,747$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.67 | 967 | 40.7%394 W · 573 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e1…7b0abacked FURIA | 54c | 3,644$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.66 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FURIA | 46c | 3,578$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.76 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00df…0d23backed Spirit | 69c | 2,909$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Spirit | 58c | 2,862$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed FURIA | 34c | 2,644$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.84 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed FURIA | 38c | 2,620$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.6 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed FURIA | 39c | 2,400$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.05 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FURIA | 21c | 2,288$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.54 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed FURIA | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Spirit | 46c | 1,923$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.05 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked FURIA | 17c | 1,828$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.76 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Spirit | 50c | 1,825$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.02 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc983…ebf0backed FURIA | 38c | 1,432$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.56 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA | 38c | 1,391$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.47 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked FURIA | 40c | 1,375$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.98 | 377 | 59.7%225 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Spirit | 33c | 1,227$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.02 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…9527backed FURIA | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked FURIA | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Spirit | 57c | 862.99$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.88 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Spirit | 75c | 800$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Spirit | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 1,277 | 21.9%280 W · 997 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Spirit | 41c | 729.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.37 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FURIA | 37c | 704.3$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.59 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8658…41c6backed FURIA | 60c | 678.08$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…a33fbacked FURIA | 39c | 623.38$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.12 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…1391backed Spirit | 41c | 500$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.51 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…b6ecbacked Spirit | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked FURIA | 39c | 499.96$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Spirit | 41c | 482.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed FURIA | 40c | 451.48$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.39 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Spirit | 39c | 437.64$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.96 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Spirit | 61c | 427.18$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f8…cfaabacked FURIA | 71c | 423.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed FURIA | 68c | 421$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.28 | 223 | 65%145 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…1ceebacked FURIA | 25c | 400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed FURIA | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked FURIA | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed FURIA | 12c | 399.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 474 | 41.6%197 W · 277 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Spirit | 48c | 364.98$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.29 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed FURIA | 41c | 348.33$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51e…a146backed FURIA | 72c | 346.02$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.56 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Spirit | 41c | 344.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.75 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2308…e8f6backed FURIA | 40c | 341.13$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa96d…aa92backed Spirit | 59c | 338.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.96 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Spirit | 59c | 330$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked FURIA | 8c | 305.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed Spirit | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Spirit | 39c | 299$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.49 | 617 | 37.9%234 W · 383 L | -22.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed FURIA | 57c | 292.65$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.81 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Spirit | 64c | 288.9$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Spirit | 36c | 288$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.33 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Spirit | 74c | 258.17$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.9 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…92cfbacked Spirit | 60c | 237.47$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed FURIA | 48c | 236.85$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Spirit | 60c | 230$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce6…030ebacked Spirit | 41c | 220$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Spirit | 41c | 216.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…532fbacked Spirit | 31c | 215.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Spirit | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecd…091dbacked Spirit | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Spirit | 60c | 200$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Spirit | 66c | 181.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 446 | 41.3%184 W · 262 L | -28.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb65…a0c3backed FURIA | 35c | 176.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…be45backed Spirit | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd308…07bdbacked Spirit | 61c | 163.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked FURIA | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Spirit | 62c | 152.1$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed FURIA | 32c | 148.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed81…82eebacked Spirit | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed FURIA | 40c | 137.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed FURIA | 63c | 134.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Spirit | 61c | 134.43$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…ae8ebacked FURIA | 22c | 130.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed FURIA | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…d6f0backed FURIA | 36c | 123.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…c310backed Spirit | 60c | 123.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed FURIA | 52c | 117.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a18…0808backed Spirit | 70c | 112.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…6e17backed Spirit | 42c | 111.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Spirit | 44c | 104.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Spirit | 60c | 104$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6520…ea4bbacked FURIA | 48c | 103.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f5…0044backed Spirit | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad5…7c7ebacked FURIA | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.