TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeaf9…d6f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST3751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$114
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+30%+$26.56
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+170.3%+$54.74
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$113.27
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$102.13
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs GamerLegion (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffsbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+185.7%+$92.86
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+177.8%+$71.11
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$19.33
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+100%+$30
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+244.8%+$80.79
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+163.2%+$39.16
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26.19
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.99
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17.02
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Spread: Magic (-9.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Bucks (-1.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Spread: Magic (-11.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+98.4%+$41.53
Will Ja Morant be traded before the 2026 trade deadline?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+150%+$60
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$16.5
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+49.7%+$8.08
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Will Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$53.5
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Valencia CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will SD Huesca vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Getafe CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$37.14
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+49.7%+$29.83
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Amir Albazi (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Albazi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Michal Oleksiejczuk vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Oleksiejczuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+43%+$64.53
O/U 0.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Niko Price vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Veretennikov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.43
UFC Fight Night: Bruna Brasil vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Souza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+76%+$75.96
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 325: Brundage vs. Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Rowston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.86
UFC 325: Elliott vs. Micallef (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Elliott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid+35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Ben Sheltonbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Munar (+1.5)backed Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Paula Badosa vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$83.85
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Sonay Kartal vs Cristina Bucsabacked Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+68.9%+$78.63
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+681.3%+$78.85
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-68.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+284.6%+$113.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NE/SEA win their 2026 NFL Conference Championship games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+132.6%+$33.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+70.3%+$42.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.