NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53b2770feb289b93560aea66d5bef1774891fdcdefcad3d136a4538224ab28b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Pistons, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,153,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,166,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,153,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 335 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 49c | 619,862$303,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303,662.87 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Rockets | 51c | 300,000$153,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,000 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 51c | 143,586$72,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,638.39 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Rockets | 51c | 62,069$31,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,413.66 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rockets | 51c | 60,000$30,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,400 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Rockets | 51c | 41,383$21,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,263.84 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Rockets | 51c | 30,052$15,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,725.29 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 51c | 27,808$14,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,620.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,250 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 49c | 22,543$11,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,046.07 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Pistons | 48c | 21,000$10,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,079.96 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Pistons | 49c | 17,531$8,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,547.77 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Rockets | 51c | 15,847$8,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,764.8 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rockets | 51c | 15,554$7,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,621.46 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 49c | 15,061$7,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,388.81 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Pistons | 49c | 11,332$5,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,552.71 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Rockets | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pistons | 49c | 9,758$4,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,779.45 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 51c | 8,983$4,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,364.31 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 53c | 8,681$4,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,075.13 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…2c81backed Rockets | 50c | 8,412$4,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,193.31 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1927…4272backed Pistons | 49c | 7,492$3,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,671.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…14adbacked Pistons | 50c | 7,125$3,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,562.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf47…6a00backed Pistons | 49c | 6,967$3,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,413.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bef…0d38backed Pistons | 49c | 6,693$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…2123backed Pistons | 49c | 6,606$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,236.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26b0…9497backed Pistons | 49c | 6,394$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6104…e263backed Pistons | 49c | 6,288$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2130…f102backed Pistons | 49c | 6,238$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc24…33d1backed Pistons | 49c | 6,235$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…258fbacked Pistons | 49c | 6,219$3,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,047.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…f352backed Pistons | 49c | 6,208$3,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,041.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb193…6dd8backed Pistons | 49c | 6,144$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be9…6e7abacked Pistons | 49c | 6,055$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Rockets | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Rockets | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Pistons | 49c | 5,729$2,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Pistons | 51c | 5,700$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.89 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e9…0e70backed Pistons | 50c | 5,518$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47dd…6b6abacked Rockets | 51c | 5,457$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,673.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…23e2backed Rockets | 51c | 5,410$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae6d…01debacked Rockets | 51c | 5,406$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 49c | 5,223$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,663.63 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 24c | 5,130$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…e752backed Rockets | 51c | 5,009$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3119…0e1dbacked Rockets | 50c | 4,937$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea5…7491backed Rockets | 51c | 4,933$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd2…65c4backed Rockets | 51c | 4,884$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…79f8backed Rockets | 51c | 4,624$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Rockets | 54c | 4,529$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.31 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Pistons | 49c | 4,390$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.05 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Pistons | 49c | 4,286$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d25…eb82backed Rockets | 51c | 4,273$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Pistons | 49c | 4,084$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Pistons | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Rockets | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e7…1633backed Pistons | 49c | 3,639$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Rockets | 52c | 3,615$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.38 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…834fbacked Rockets | 51c | 3,606$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac6f…95bfbacked Rockets | 51c | 3,505$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff1b…deb6backed Rockets | 51c | 3,455$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf7…86a7backed Rockets | 51c | 3,377$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x800c…180ebacked Rockets | 51c | 3,317$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…174cbacked Rockets | 51c | 3,312$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d1…3ef2backed Rockets | 51c | 3,303$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…df04backed Rockets | 51c | 3,293$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb93…0d26backed Rockets | 51c | 3,289$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2f…76eebacked Rockets | 51c | 3,288$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x146f…f21bbacked Rockets | 51c | 3,277$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…a88abacked Rockets | 51c | 3,256$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…8843backed Rockets | 51c | 3,226$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd049…7f8cbacked Rockets | 51c | 3,223$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafb4…8f14backed Rockets | 51c | 3,188$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…c8b1backed Rockets | 51c | 3,141$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd24…b6b2backed Rockets | 51c | 3,131$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…cb9abacked Rockets | 51c | 3,121$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4088…8e90backed Rockets | 51c | 3,103$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c56…b34ebacked Rockets | 51c | 3,084$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x296b…407ebacked Rockets | 51c | 3,063$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Rockets | 53c | 3,019$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.87 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0445…be30backed Rockets | 51c | 3,005$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Rockets | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…52bdbacked Rockets | 51c | 2,996$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.05 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1896…a736backed Pistons | 49c | 2,980$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e14…a8c0backed Rockets | 51c | 2,978$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Rockets | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Rockets | 52c | 2,303$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.55 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rockets | 54c | 2,221$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.19 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons | 48c | 2,069$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Rockets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Rockets | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3d55backed Pistons | 49c | 1,988$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…0767backed Rockets | 50c | 1,983$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7939…8b42backed Pistons | 49c | 1,970$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6a…5cdbbacked Pistons | 49c | 1,962$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…9f3abacked Pistons | 49c | 1,950$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…5c6abacked Rockets | 50c | 1,932$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Rockets | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fee…5894backed Pistons | 49c | 1,903$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…d361backed Pistons | 49c | 1,899$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Rockets won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. PistonsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.