NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b2825dc1b2e64a99f901be957a16819ba19b5a82c695a660fafb9cc160484f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 17,500$8,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,575 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 16,890$8,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,253.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b27…155fbacked Under | 51c | 3,850$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31c…f26ebacked Over | 49c | 3,800$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800c…180ebacked Over | 49c | 3,233$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb93…0d26backed Over | 49c | 3,126$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 52c | 3,003$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.61 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Under | 49c | 2,980$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.79 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd049…7f8cbacked Under | 51c | 2,929$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…8843backed Over | 49c | 2,678$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 51c | 2,493$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.33 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 1,850$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.92 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4663…e36dbacked Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea5…7491backed Under | 51c | 1,450$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2f…76eebacked Under | 51c | 1,205$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac6f…95bfbacked Under | 51c | 1,103$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 51c | 1,071$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.79 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4088…8e90backed Under | 51c | 1,011$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e14…a8c0backed Under | 51c | 993$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2130…f102backed Under | 51c | 606$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be9…6e7abacked Under | 51c | 602$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1896…a736backed Over | 50c | 498$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 445.08$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.61 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Over | 52c | 400$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Over | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Over | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1927…4272backed Under | 51c | 311$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb193…6dd8backed Under | 51c | 277$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 240$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…fccdbacked Over | 50c | 230.02$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 167.02$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…9239backed Under | 54c | 139.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 51c | 114.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Over | 51c | 98.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 21c | 90.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 54c | 83.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 49c | 73.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Under | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 53.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e7…b890backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…9895backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Under | 50c | 49.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…6976backed Under | 51c | 49.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2b…0308backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7e…719fbacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Over | 48c | 42.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ae…bf68backed Under | 51c | 41.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 52c | 40.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…08afbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 49c | 37.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9579…3738backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…306bbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7a…d212backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…2bd0backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…60a4backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d8e6backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fc…2fdebacked Under | 51c | 29.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x082f…b13bbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b9…d090backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 49c | 21.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…bf37backed Under | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…78d3backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7b…5b9ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786f…4858backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Rockets won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. PistonsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.