TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$232,199
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$262,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,199 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1852…cb4ebacked Under48c28,000$13,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,559.968230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bae…bac0backed Over52c19,032$9,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,896.771070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under49c8,562$4,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,366.6216547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa969…5c0cbacked Under49c7,086$3,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,613.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c7,000$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5701,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Over53c6,767$3,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,605.0413239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe430…93eabacked Under49c6,727$3,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,430.77540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe357…3e57backed Under49c6,565$3,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,348.15425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e56…5bd2backed Under49c6,134$3,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.34425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5820…6215backed Over52c5,445$2,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,831.440%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7939…8b42backed Over51c5,428$2,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,768.28742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x246b…5c6abacked Over52c5,379$2,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,797.08450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4663…e36dbacked Over51c4,966$2,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,532.6640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3bd…bee3backed Over52c4,927$2,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,562.04425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2907…03eebacked Over52c4,866$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,530.32633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6696…7e3abacked Over51c4,631$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,361.81425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0de9…b596backed Over51c4,243$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,163.93425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d04…9435backed Under48c4,200$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1842665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x270b…ff56backed Over52c4,200$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1841850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b1f…c37dbacked Over52c4,200$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1842646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc31a…31d0backed Over52c4,200$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1841844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf32…e0e7backed Under48c4,200$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1842864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f5e…9bd5backed Over52c4,200$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1842050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4db…309dbacked Under48c4,200$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1842157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf04f…103dbacked Under48c4,200$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1842466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb482…e3ecbacked Under48c4,200$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1842766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bff…c39bbacked Over52c4,200$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1841844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7397…860cbacked Over51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0402035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1912…686cbacked Over51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0402147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c51…60bcbacked Over51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0402254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb9…2396backed Under49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0402864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+30.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafe7…7e7fbacked Under49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0402365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+27.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7258…b1dbbacked Under49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0402152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d30…c94fbacked Under49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0402133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c41…02e2backed Over51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0402161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc29a…8776backed Over51c3,999$2,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.492250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81c2…5ca2backed Under49c3,999$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.492560%15 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02f1…6ff8backed Over51c3,725$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.75425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x155d…2525backed Over48c3,687$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,770.693961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d0b…c760backed Over51c3,636$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.36425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over59c3,392$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.533,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over52c3,377$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.992,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d34…f1a9backed Over51c3,303$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4d…a7f6backed Over51c3,288$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.88450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1806…b2d5backed Over51c3,215$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.65425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc653…3813backed Over51c3,199$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.49425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26cb…293ebacked Under49c3,123$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed5…29b9backed Over51c3,123$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.7340%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51f7…a03bbacked Over51c3,101$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.51425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c3,047$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.082,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under52c3,047$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.2135747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…e720backed Over51c3,045$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4088…8e90backed Under49c2,819$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.69475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c56…b34ebacked Under49c2,788$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.88450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2f…76eebacked Under49c2,717$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.67580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+58.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff1b…deb6backed Under49c2,618$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.18450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd84f…cb9abacked Under49c2,535$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.85450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac6f…95bfbacked Under49c2,416$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.16683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+66.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb193…6dd8backed Over51c2,414$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.14425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd049…7f8cbacked Under49c2,253$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.034100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under50c2,004$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.3150754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4da5…93f0backed Under48c1,975$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd5c…23e2backed Under49c1,952$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefcc…0767backed Under48c1,950$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b86…d2a7backed Under48c1,914$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.28450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x250b…ad73backed Under48c1,892$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.84683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+66.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4415…d361backed Under49c1,868$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.68450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcea5…7491backed Under49c1,831$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.81475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd56b…02f3backed Under48c1,823$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Over55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014254.9%78 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32db…685bbacked Under48c1,789$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.28450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c1,705$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.82,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe31c…f26ebacked Under49c1,702$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.02425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3119…0e1dbacked Under48c1,624$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ae…6f43backed Under48c1,615$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf4c…5181backed Under49c1,608$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeeb2…9551backed Under48c1,556$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.124100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9e9…0e70backed Under48c1,537$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0445…be30backed Over51c1,525$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.75475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e14…a8c0backed Over51c1,505$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb93…0d26backed Over51c1,489$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.39425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06c9…a42fbacked Under48c1,489$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.28450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc07…a6b0backed Under48c1,453$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b27…155fbacked Under49c1,433$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.83450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x800c…180ebacked Over51c1,323$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.73425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x146f…f21bbacked Over51c1,314$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.14450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…79f8backed Under49c1,300$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79c4…64ebbacked Under49c1,276$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafb4…8f14backed Over51c1,257$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.07450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under49c1,225$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.752,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e1…258fbacked Over51c1,215$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.6540%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x420f…6c48backed Under49c1,205$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.55425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa56d…f352backed Over51c1,202$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.0240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d25…eb82backed Under49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76fc…8843backed Over51c1,156$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…683cbacked Under49c1,140$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.4785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick50cpaid+69.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x69d1…3ef2backed Over51c1,104$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c1,084$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.359,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c1,074$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.754,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c1,030$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.