TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,145
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,145 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf35…b5eabacked Over47c6,767$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,180.4613239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under53c5,652$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,652.1612855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32db…685bbacked Under52c4,500$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6125…1b5fbacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x250b…ad73backed Under52c3,925$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+66.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc07…a6b0backed Over48c3,800$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefcc…0767backed Over48c3,300$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c3,247$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.119,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under54c2,764$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.214,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c1,531$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.465,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over36c1,400$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.198,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c1,397$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.63,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Under64c1,392$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.7314255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under55c1,302$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.862347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd622…8b56backed Over47c1,237$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.88339.8%33 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9e9…0e70backed Over48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over48c1,113$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.232,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over28c1,049$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.832,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over48c1,041$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.373,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under53c1,015$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.996,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Under52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.541675%12 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under54c950$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4371,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over45c804.5$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.52,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under55c804.5$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.521852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3844,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2907…03eebacked Over48c700$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x246b…5c6abacked Under52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under68c582.66$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.91,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under51c570$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.111945.4%54 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over42c511.25$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.7331144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over55c507$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.851,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17032450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under53c473.72$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.7217233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under53c437.01$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.392,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe62e…d3e2backed Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6210644.3%47 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over48c383$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.431,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over41c363.65$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.363,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under61c348$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7222648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Under56c308.33$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5812645.2%57 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c294.5$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.984,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Under57c278.71$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0827144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over55c256.12$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.871,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12085147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under66c225.09$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.141,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Under53c210.37$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.845650%28 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9659144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaece…b0c9backed Under42c200$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under56c171.63$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0711650.9%59 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a26…1b7dbacked Under54c138.89$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.893751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2af9…b081backed Under54c129.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.63944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Over36c128.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.966839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under50c118$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599050%45 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over61c115$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.452,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Under51c101.46$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7216749.1%82 W · 85 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4747043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72a7…1493backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518127.2%22 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under54c99.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9942551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over25c93.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.971,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3490backed Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9114454.9%79 W · 65 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc897…f3b3backed Over27c77.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c73.28$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.172,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Under63c69.84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8431151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Over50c63.72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8611343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a5…fb44backed Under79c60.45$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4512561.6%77 W · 48 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over42c60.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1220149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9932…f309backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301540%6 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.641354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9280…99b4backed Under49c56.12$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.622646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Over47c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.385244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under55c53.46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.033,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over48c53.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.641,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over45c52.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.652,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over51c51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.011,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2449351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b73…a19dbacked Over50c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc6c…fe22backed Under61c40.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.497454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x203f…727ebacked Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.11163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49bb…4d4cbacked Under51c38.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.867248.6%35 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4643647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc842…c282backed Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Under72c38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.587150.7%36 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under51c37.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.31,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26fc…13f2backed Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7172…4cf3backed Under72c36.58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.411442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ecd…b2c0backed Over50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-34.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa554…e53dbacked Over50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under65c31.56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.971,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9786…b15cbacked Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.47652.6%40 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over49c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2171245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over47c27.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1345651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Over42c26.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.358243.9%36 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under54c25.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8129645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd6d…c504backed Under79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.328854.5%48 W · 40 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Under51c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.766058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under55c23.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6437959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under62c21.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2319232.8%63 W · 129 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf65…45d7backed Under64c20.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.316233.9%21 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.