TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ecd…b2c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
190
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Asian League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-34.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.96
Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.59
Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.28
Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Bucks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 111.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.75
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.39
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Rockets vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Spread: Bulls (-1.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.96
Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.19
1H Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Celtics vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 123.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$47.15
1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$15.04
Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$35.04
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.23
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.75
Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$17.16
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$26.27
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H Moneylinebacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$16.34
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+68.3%+$17.86
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+104.1%+$14.28
1H Spread: Pacers (-1.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+81.8%+$24.75
Thunder vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+127.3%+$14.56
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST2548%12 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Austin Peay Governors vs. Queens (NC) Royals: O/U 160.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.87
Spread: Sam Houston Bearkats (-3.5)backed Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.08
Spread: Ball State Cardinals (-3.5)backed Ball State Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.44
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$7.92
Rhode Island Rams vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.16
Spread: Tulane Green Wave (-0.5)backed North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$14.56
Xavier Musketeers vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$17.05
Saint Louis Billikens vs. VCU Rams: O/U 169.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$15.4
Spread: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (-2.5)backed North Alabama Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.48
Lamar Cardinals vs. East Texas A&M Lionsbacked Lamar Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+66.7%+$11.2
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Oregon State Beaversbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+37%+$4.86
Pacific Tigers vs. San Diego Torerosbacked Pacific Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16.53
Liberty Flames vs. Florida International Golden Panthersbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+56.3%+$18
Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-18.5)backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.27
Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25.37
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.04
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Providence Friars: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$18.79
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Milwaukee Panthersbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.92
Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+81.8%+$19.35
Army Black Knights vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12.96
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. CSUN Matadorsbacked Fresno State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10.29
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogs: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+96.1%+$11.27
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 133.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.55
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Ball State Cardinalsbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.93
Elon Phoenix vs. Wofford Terriers: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$35.51
All 25 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.6
Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Birmingham City FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+72.4%+$9.24
Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11.18
Wrexham AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.32
Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+85.2%+$23
Birmingham City FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$16.12
Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25.38
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.22
Will Preston North End FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14.6
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$23.1
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+25%+$3
Will Stoke City FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+37%+$13.5
Will Oxford United FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Stoke City FC vs. Swansea City AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$17.49
Oxford United FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+112.8%+$11.66
Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)backed Hull City AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+488.2%+$67.23
Bristol City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+38.9%+$15.96
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SHL: Luleaa vs. Malmoebacked Luleaa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.48
Sharks vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.28
Kings vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Jets vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.34
Sabres vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$12.74
SHL: Timraa vs. Froelunda HCbacked Timraa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.05
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Torpedobacked Torpedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.34
Panthers vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.04
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+257.1%+$35.28
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$17.25
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Sharks vs. Ducksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+143.9%+$15.93
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+117.4%+$15.12
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.55
Sharks vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$15.57
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14.28
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+43.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Carabelli vs. Comesana: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.73
Carabelli vs. Comesana: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.15
Set Handicap: Passaro (-1.5) vs Buse (+1.5)backed Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$9.62
Set Handicap: Royer (-1.5) vs O'Connell (+1.5)backed O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.65
Medvedev vs. Humbert: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Set 1 Winner: Agut vs Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$8.32
Transylvania Open: Yue Yuan vs Daria Snigurbacked Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.47
Set Handicap: Eala (-1.5) vs Sasnovich (+1.5)backed Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$12.96
Transylvania Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+37%+$4.86
Australian Open Women's: Carole Monnet vs Elena Micicbacked Micic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+284.6%+$29.6
Medjedovic vs. Kovacevic: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+150%+$16.2
Australian Open Women's: Hanyu Guo vs Dominika Salkovabacked Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Crvena zvezda vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$14.85
Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+85.2%+$15.23
OGC Nice vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.84
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+85.2%+$20.7
FC Porto vs. Malmö FF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Will UMF Breiðablik win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.76
Will FCSB vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+28.2%+$6.16
Celtic FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$13.75
FC Utrecht vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Platense vs. CA Independiente: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.54
Grêmio FBPA vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$10.26
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+44.9%+$10.23
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.08
CD Riestra vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$22.62
CA Aldosivi vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.91
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$17.49
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+35.1%+$8.06
Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7.35
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+39.4%+$9.04
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20.14
Will Hibernian FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will Hibernian FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$23.8
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+92.3%+$14.4
Will Hibernian FC win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+28.4%+$10.84
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7.92
Will Göztepe SK win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$22.04
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cádiz CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.2
Will Granada CF win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.18
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$45.14
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+53.8%+$11.55
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.3
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+112.8%+$17.49
Will Málaga CF vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13.98
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-74.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+100.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+93.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Valenciabacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+194.1%+$20.46
Paris Basketball vs. Monacobacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.78
Anadolu Efes vs. Paris Basketballbacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$20.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+62.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Impulse GW (BO1)backed Rebels Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$10.73
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Aurora (BO3)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+127.3%+$16.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AJ Auxerre vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$8.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+40.8%+$10.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$35.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.