South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Riestra vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a414b635dcd7bfcacb7d131a34eb36d8941d1d1a4b4c741eaa19bb9d070eba9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Over | 72c | 1,012$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 831.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.42 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 558.18$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.61 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 49c | 444.73$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.16 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 309.52$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.62 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 60c | 166.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 41c | 124$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 41c | 112$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 42c | 91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 76.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 48c | 54.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…17e3backed Over | 70c | 52.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 57c | 46.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Over | 58c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 41c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Over | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Over | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Over | 59c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Over | 59c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Over | 59c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Over | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Over | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Over | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Over | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Riestra vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Riestra vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Riestra vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.