TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb0ef…39b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
200
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Movies, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT6464.1%41 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 130.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 128.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 133.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.98
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.28
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.6
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.62
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 133.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.41
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 116.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 115.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Clippers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 114.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Thunder vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 108.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Thunder vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 106.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.71
Bucks vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Bucks vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.49
Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$32.83
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.87
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$17.19
Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Clippers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 108.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Pacers vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 108.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 114.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 115.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Heat vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 116.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Heat vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 117.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Heat vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 118.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$75.62
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,269Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$335.12
Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$872Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+35%+$305.41
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Will Elissa Finley get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+508.8%+$2,121.73
Will Miguel Lopez get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+772.3%+$954.95
Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,617Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+40.3%+$652.53
Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$4,181.8
Will Violet Bridgerton get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$7,214Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$7,214.08
Will "Love is Blind: Season 10" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$75.5
Will between 5 and 8 participants make a final pair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Stranger Things: Season 5 have more than 75 million views the week of the finale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$713Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$712.75
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$698.21
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$897Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+35.7%+$319.66
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$201.9
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$143.55
All 17 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Juárez vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+33.3%+$38.26
FC Juárez vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.3%+$31.33
FC Juárez vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+57.2%+$57.19
Atlético San Luis vs. Querétaro FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+110.1%+$80.22
Atlético San Luis vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16.77
Atlético San Luis vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Atlético San Luis vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+33.8%+$38.71
Tigres de la UANL vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.7
CA Unión vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.23
CA Unión vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
CA Tigre vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
CA Tigre vs. Racing Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.85
CD Riestra vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$730.45
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-21.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beşiktaş JK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$12.26
Beşiktaş JK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.28
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$63.26
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$57.14
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Telstar 1963: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$95.92
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.45
Odense BK vs. FC København: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$144.7
Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+32.6%+$13.02
FC Nordsjælland vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
PSV vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Falkirk FC vs. Hibernian FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.08
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick72cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dolphins vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.8
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Cardinals vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$7.5
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$103.03
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+244.3%+$34.06
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+455.6%+$250.56
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+53.8%+$24.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$29.83
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+41.8%+$59
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$95.73
Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+36.3%+$36.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick13cpaid-60.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+342.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portland Timbers vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37%+$74.06
San Diego FC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+78.4%+$9.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Racing Club de Lens vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$2.94
Paris FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,032Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42%+$432.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.39
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+32.4%+$31.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.