TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Buccaneers vs. Dolphins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dolphinsof Buccaneers, Dolphins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$628,242
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$678,084

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $628,242 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 437 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Dolphins50c86,627$43,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,956.9930043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Dolphins31c32,655$10,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,532.247554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Dolphins30c31,500$9,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,05016545.5%75 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Buccaneers21c30,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,399.981442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Buccaneers69c29,458$20,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,426.1531854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Buccaneers58c23,628$13,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,815.5273651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65cd…1e0bbacked Buccaneers73c22,275$16,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,361.311752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Buccaneers68c18,971$12,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,964.919152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1de3…0321backed Dolphins31c17,186$5,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,858.551060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Buccaneers67c16,133$10,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,812.771,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Buccaneers67c14,110$9,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,453.9986547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Dolphins31c13,000$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,94026650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Buccaneers67c12,537$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,399.9511544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Buccaneers69c12,486$8,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,656.9653253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Buccaneers46c10,895$5,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,011.71747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Dolphins33c10,782$3,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,179.6554451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Buccaneers30c10,398$3,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,067.6611643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Dolphins79c10,127$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.5812249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Dolphins32c10,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,80035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Dolphins30c10,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,999.9614342%60 W · 83 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Buccaneers66c9,939$6,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,560.054358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Buccaneers12c9,689$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.88737.9%33 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Dolphins32c9,226$2,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,260.813138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Dolphins75c8,770$6,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,187.8720026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Buccaneers14c8,770$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.7823244.4%103 W · 129 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Buccaneers68c8,107$5,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,544.8914951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Buccaneers55c8,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40018156.9%103 W · 78 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82ba…0a52backed Buccaneers45c8,000$3,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,619.981540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Buccaneers68c7,925$5,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3894146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Buccaneers66c7,201$4,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,775.1975852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Dolphins59c5,589$3,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,298.6731543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Buccaneers36c5,417$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9507259.7%43 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Buccaneers24c5,046$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.722626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Buccaneers70c5,000$3,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,496.9830446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Dolphins31c5,000$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,45012944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Buccaneers15c4,517$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.0947348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2f…3794backed Dolphins32c3,820$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,579.998128.4%23 W · 58 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Buccaneers68c3,623$2,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,463.645650%28 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Dolphins36c3,575$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.42740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63bf…e319backed Dolphins32c3,406$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,316.258729.9%26 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Buccaneers69c3,366$2,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,322.534349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Buccaneers1c3,276$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.454311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9dd…3cc5backed Buccaneers26c3,242$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.641931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Buccaneers57c3,045$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.2616254.9%89 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Dolphins32c3,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04015252.6%80 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Dolphins33c3,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,02012250%61 W · 61 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Dolphins31c3,000$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,07051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Buccaneers70c2,847$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.95860.3%35 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Buccaneers48c2,722$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.3627348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Buccaneers69c2,696$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8606339.7%25 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f8d…4537backed Buccaneers69c2,500$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7251450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Dolphins32c2,500$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70019240.1%77 W · 115 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Buccaneers69c2,249$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5522263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Buccaneers32c2,234$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.450242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Buccaneers45c2,190$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.51450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Buccaneers68c2,119$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.1212744.9%57 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d82…ffb2backed Dolphins31c2,059$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.511040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+47.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Buccaneers14c2,040$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.1668446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Dolphins33c2,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,34014438.9%56 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Buccaneers36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7202560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2909…ba8bbacked Dolphins31c2,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+71.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Buccaneers36c1,990$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.821250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f9…c327backed Dolphins77c1,956$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.852347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Dolphins31c1,900$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.2965048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Dolphins30c1,848$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.91747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Buccaneers63c1,748$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.55855.2%32 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6584…88c0backed Buccaneers59c1,701$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-73.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Buccaneers63c1,686$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.6722434.4%77 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Dolphins36c1,536$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.4319439.2%76 W · 118 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Buccaneers32c1,501$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Buccaneers68c1,500$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0203470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Dolphins32c1,500$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0207050%35 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7546…3a91backed Buccaneers36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5405230.8%16 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf642…0c19backed Dolphins31c1,461$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.293330.3%10 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Buccaneers69c1,419$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.421254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Buccaneers68c1,200$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81622446.4%104 W · 120 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Buccaneers46c1,196$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.7123850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Buccaneers64c1,188$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.7115446.8%72 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Buccaneers69c1,146$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.4224054.6%131 W · 109 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Buccaneers32c1,041$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.8435648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Buccaneers68c1,002$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.2231848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Buccaneers69c999.97$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9828556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Dolphins30c955.52$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.8632050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97cb…9efcbacked Dolphins33c908.15$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.462231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Dolphins33c867.61$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.37041.4%29 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Dolphins69c854$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.74555.6%25 W · 20 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Buccaneers20c850$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17011237.5%42 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9171…a0c6backed Buccaneers18c820.32$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503821.1%8 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Dolphins31c799.97$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.982821.4%6 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Buccaneers31c799.97$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.996050%30 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b6b…3ba7backed Buccaneers32c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505339.6%21 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Dolphins32c766$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.8826649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de1…d097backed Dolphins75c710.84$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.693100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Dolphins29c706.83$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5052240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Dolphins32c700$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47613641.2%56 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Buccaneers2c700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11980%0 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Buccaneers69c700$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.3312445.2%56 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Dolphins30c699.95$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.964544.4%20 W · 25 L+6.4wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+37.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Buccaneers10c683.02$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.048146.9%38 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc963…e1d7backed Buccaneers70c671.43$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.