TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

1H Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Dolphinsof Buccaneers, Dolphins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$917
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$917

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $917 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x10f7…26f0backed Buccaneers45c145$65 inLost-$65.251747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Dolphins51c56$29 inWon+$27.441435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Dolphins51c52$27 inWon+$25.481968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf6e9…6613backed Dolphins55c38$21 inWon+$17.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebc…bb17backed Buccaneers49c38$19 inLost-$18.62742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Buccaneers44c36$16 inLost-$15.841637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77ec…4f9cbacked Dolphins55c35$19 inWon+$15.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Buccaneers43c32$14 inLost-$13.76944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6e…148bbacked Dolphins55c32$18 inWon+$14.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Buccaneers43c27$12 inLost-$11.612133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.