NFL · resolved market
Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: O/U 43.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6b0c38121cf31647b4bcad6c66e4ef97107a742f1ef1dd390af4587cd3b04ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 47,845$23,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,525.93 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Over | 51c | 45,500$23,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,205 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 40,072$20,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,654.42 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 49c | 29,999$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,299.73 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 12,306$5,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.05 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Over | 52c | 3,847$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.31 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.99 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Over | 51c | 585.7$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.71 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 226.32$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.87 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Over | 51c | 205$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 56c | 164$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.16 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…18cabacked Under | 50c | 119.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Over | 51c | 111.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6892…5b42backed Over | 51c | 87.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3381…52bcbacked Under | 50c | 62.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…29c2backed Over | 51c | 45.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f8…79a8backed Over | 51c | 45.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 48c | 43.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 58c | 38.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Under | 49c | 31.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 42c | 30.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 48c | 28.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…07cdbacked Over | 51c | 26.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…89e4backed Over | 51c | 20.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -59%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: O/U 43.5this page
- 1H Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)Dolphins won
- 1H Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)Dolphins won
- Buccaneers vs. DolphinsDolphins won
- Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: 1H MoneylineDolphins won
- Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: O/U 44.5Under won
- Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: O/U 45.5Under won
- Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: O/U 46.5Under won
- Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)Dolphins won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)Dolphins won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)Dolphins won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)Dolphins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.