TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dolphinsof Buccaneers, Dolphins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$471,220
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$543,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $471,220 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Dolphins51c144,457$73,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,885.147554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Buccaneers48c80,733$38,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,995.727454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Dolphins49c71,064$35,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,052.9486547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Dolphins52c70,000$36,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,6008747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Buccaneers48c68,542$32,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,900.1616955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Dolphins52c60,000$31,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,799.9716051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Buccaneers49c40,000$19,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,6006645.5%30 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Buccaneers50c39,866$19,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,930.7675852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Buccaneers49c27,064$13,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,261.3619152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Buccaneers50c26,678$13,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,300.5256852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Buccaneers49c13,308$6,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,524.9653253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Buccaneers48c10,350$4,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,96228447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Buccaneers51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10013560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Dolphins51c9,000$4,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,41026547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Buccaneers48c8,820$4,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,233.3718156.9%103 W · 78 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Buccaneers50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Dolphins52c5,800$3,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7843253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Dolphins52c5,224$2,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.7124957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Buccaneers50c4,514$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,27239447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Buccaneers50c4,500$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2505149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Buccaneers50c4,090$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,02615446.8%72 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Buccaneers50c3,172$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.9165048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Buccaneers48c2,887$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.0539754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Buccaneers47c2,573$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.639754.6%53 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Dolphins52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20019240.1%77 W · 115 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Buccaneers50c2,400$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2006647%31 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Dolphins53c2,350$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.515252.6%80 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Buccaneers48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9607152.1%37 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Buccaneers51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02010156.4%57 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Buccaneers48c1,980$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.5911254.5%61 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafdc…c2a2backed Buccaneers48c1,815$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8711450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Buccaneers50c1,793$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.3477052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Buccaneers49c1,792$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.2122446.4%104 W · 120 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Buccaneers49c1,598$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.237350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Dolphins52c1,552$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.9626649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Buccaneers48c1,418$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.643357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Dolphins53c1,415$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.0912550.4%63 W · 62 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Buccaneers48c1,414$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.74362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Dolphins51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58836246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Buccaneers51c1,155$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.71,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8df…6df7backed Dolphins51c1,019$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.681450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Buccaneers48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48011452.6%60 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Dolphins52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48026648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71a5…c3eabacked Dolphins51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.393429.4%10 W · 24 L-7.7wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-49.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Dolphins53c939.59$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.596738.8%26 W · 41 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Buccaneers51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40813959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Buccaneers51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011156.8%63 W · 48 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Dolphins52c732.82$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.831,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1de3…0321backed Dolphins49c695.91$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.911060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Buccaneers48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017251.7%89 W · 83 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Buccaneers50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010547.6%50 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Dolphins50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005265.4%34 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Buccaneers49c527.1$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.5136341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Dolphins53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23514151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Buccaneers51c499.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2555939%23 W · 36 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Dolphins51c454.73$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.825345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Dolphins42c422.57$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.7373651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Buccaneers48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020443.6%89 W · 115 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Buccaneers51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20420555.6%114 W · 91 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Buccaneers51c375$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.256663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+30.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3381…52bcbacked Dolphins54c355.63$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.592941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Buccaneers51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15314060.7%85 W · 55 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Buccaneers50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016957.4%97 W · 72 L+15.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Buccaneers51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15317656.3%99 W · 77 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6892…5b42backed Buccaneers48c297.04$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.58850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e57…21cbbacked Dolphins54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.781450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Buccaneers48c260.16$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.872951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Buccaneers47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.520650.5%104 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Buccaneers70c250$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1756756.7%38 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Buccaneers51c250$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.57041.4%29 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-28.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Buccaneers51c240$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.411758.1%68 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Buccaneers51c240$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.411859.3%70 W · 48 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Buccaneers49c222.43$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1154451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dolphins52c222.05$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5883147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Dolphins51c203.92$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.929651%49 W · 47 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Buccaneers46c201.59$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7319439.2%76 W · 118 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ff9…ce7abacked Buccaneers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011650.9%59 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Buccaneers51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Dolphins50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013347.4%63 W · 70 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Dolphins52c195$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.655345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9934…6078backed Dolphins52c194.34$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.344944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Buccaneers48c187.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9028047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Buccaneers51c180$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.812057.5%69 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Buccaneers51c180$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Buccaneers51c180$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.816360.1%98 W · 65 L+16.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Buccaneers48c177.08$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Buccaneers50c175$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7510353.4%55 W · 48 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Buccaneers49c159.49$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.158349.4%41 W · 42 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Buccaneers50c156.2$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.134652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Buccaneers51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.510461.5%64 W · 40 L+12.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x37a7…a42bbacked Buccaneers48c141.67$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686243.5%27 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Dolphins54c138.89$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.896952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Buccaneers47c126$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.221540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Buccaneers51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.26752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Buccaneers51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.210155.4%56 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Buccaneers51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.26147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Buccaneers51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.26755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Buccaneers51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.212356.9%70 W · 53 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Buccaneers51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.211058.2%64 W · 46 L+11.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Buccaneers51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.210359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.