TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9934…6078

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
383
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Commodities, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT7548%36 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$847Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+1,224%+$10,367.61
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$56.4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$561
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$53.99
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$111.99
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$20.83
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.92
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.21
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$124
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.19
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.85
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Military action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Will USD reach 1.6M Iranian rials by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$232.57
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST4944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$578.9
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+65%+$339.51
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
Will Super Bowl LX have between 124M and 128M viewers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 30 and 40 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get 80 million or more views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+56.7%+$79.6
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+150%+$48
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+78.3%+$43.9
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21.5
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23.2
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+143.9%+$863.41
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$676.64
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$145.43
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+53.8%+$323.08
Spread: Giants (-2.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$244
Spread: Giants (-3.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$570
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT4456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$208
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$341.34
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$53.74
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will TISZA win <42% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Beinir Johannesen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.99
Prince Andrew charged by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$37.79
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$153.34
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$453.24
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.99
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.59
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+180.9%+$128.8
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$122
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$362.19
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+32.2%+$41.4
Will Starmer say "Conservative" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+217.5%+$27.4
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT4030%12 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$156
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,234Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+78.3%+$966.3
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.7
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Hawks vs. Thunderbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Pacers vs. Rocketsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$105.6
Timberwolves vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$46.97
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Suns vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+138.1%+$207.14
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$96
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$212
Cavaliers vs. Rockets: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$204
Pacers vs. Heat: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$192
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$188
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$194
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$55.7
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$179.05
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Tim Kaine vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Chuck Schumer vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.5
Will Susan Collins vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.14
Will "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$213
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37%+$5.2
Martin Nowak out as Harvard professor by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$276
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+212.5%+$68
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$615
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$352.7
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.19
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$202
All 23 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+36.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Commodities — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$260
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$34.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$209
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$31.67
Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$53.1
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,582Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.4%+$418
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 15 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$28.4
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be at least 550k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.67
Will Drake officially release Iceman by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will I’m The Problem by Morgan Wallen be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.94
Will Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Will Bad Bunny win 2 Grammys?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.5
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+25.5%+$10.15
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$107.61
Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+31.6%+$28.8
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+26.9%+$10.6
Will Cirkut win Producer of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.34
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.24per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.8
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+809.1%+$178
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$8,888Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$3,628.12
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$109.5
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Will Claude 5 be released on February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.7
Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Threads be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.02
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.98
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Will Claude 5 be released on February 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+29.3%+$24.08
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$186.35
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$25.45
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.05
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+188.5%+$196
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$182.81
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$21.3
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+96.9%+$24.6
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$78.66
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.4
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$32
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$155.07
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Georgia Southern (-8.5)backed Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$105.6
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: O/U 58.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$98.7
Virginia vs. Missouri: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$180
Spread: North Texas (-7.5)backed San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+117.8%+$297.5
Spread: Army (-7.5)backed Connecticut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$196
O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$184
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$349.99
Spread: Clemson (-2.5)backed Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$200
Spread: Pittsburgh (-11.5)backed East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+112.8%+$127.2
Spread: Pittsburgh (-9.5)backed East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+148.7%+$316
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Spread: Navy (-7.5)backed Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+69.5%+$208.47
All 12 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+37.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Earnings — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Dave and Buster's Entertainment (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Will Weibo (WB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will Gambling.com Group (GAMB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Will Korn Ferry (KFY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Will Smith & Wesson (SWBI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$2.93
Will Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$138
Will Toast (TOST) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Richard Tabor be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000 voters?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?backed GOP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.14
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+172.7%+$380
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.2
Will La Shawn Ford be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$94.15
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$29
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$517.54
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 8.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$635.84
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.9
Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+26.3%+$208
Will GOAT be the highest grossing movie this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+81.8%+$10.48
Will Wuthering Heights be the highest grossing movie this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$412
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+43.3%+$39.3
All 8 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Liftoff Mobile not IPO before April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$645.4
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+84%+$274
Will ARKO Petroleum Corp.'s market cap be between $800M and $850M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will AGI Inc.'s market cap be between $3.00B and $3.25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$14.77
Will Once Upon a Farm's market cap be between $750M and $800M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+26.3%+$52
Will Forgent Power Solutions' market cap be less than $8.00B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
All 8 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-47.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+127.3%+$342
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+53.8%+$69.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$136
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.