TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$387,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,428 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x89d2…c598backed No1c32,215$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9d…adc0backed No16c26,891$4,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,330.6113444.8%60 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd73e…d6bfbacked No1c23,403$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.281030%3 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked No0c17,627$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.888632.6%28 W · 58 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf92a…a517backed Yes67c13,228$8,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,356.663100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No0c11,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47f5…934dbacked No20c7,029$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.237420.3%15 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab1…5b1bbacked No1c6,190$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.961618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-72.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e7f…8605backed No1c5,883$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No24c4,902$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.934035%14 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No6c4,389$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.373823.7%9 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-40%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4752…068cbacked No1c4,001$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked No11c3,963$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.0422725.1%57 W · 170 L+0.6wins0.00per pick25cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No22c3,894$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.4217037.6%64 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes40c3,859$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,317.1448224.7%119 W · 363 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd2…9b1abacked No25c3,500$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8751060%6 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+147.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4f0…3196backed No1c2,727$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aba…c083backed Yes32c2,670$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.628036.3%29 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes65c2,389$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.5634726.8%93 W · 254 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc83…c024backed No30c2,352$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb46…748ebacked No19c2,135$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.47714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-76.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes56c2,000$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.0713446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf6…559dbacked No18c2,000$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.1231534%107 W · 208 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed No51c1,969$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.353941%16 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd46…922ebacked No33c1,732$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.140%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f01…5688backed No6c1,723$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc553…b054backed No1c1,596$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-80.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked No16c1,517$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.943951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8200…df37backed No34c1,510$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.541947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdf3…68aebacked No18c1,467$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes33c1,451$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.8157636.3%209 W · 367 L-27.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f24…3c42backed No19c1,428$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.441435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-39.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a8…45debacked No7c1,327$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd18a…98aebacked No9c1,317$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.353336.4%12 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes68c1,250$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4005149%25 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed No23c1,225$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.554544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65e8…630fbacked No3c1,187$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4750%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ab6…8eefbacked Yes78c1,135$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.773857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No21c1,110$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.4215446.8%72 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78c3…7003backed No20c984$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+384.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bfc…26aebacked No3c976.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2440%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed No13c944.48$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.898142%34 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e16…7d92backed No25c943.44$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.92633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…5e5dbacked No19c925.86$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.182744.4%12 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ffd…5f97backed No19c912.93$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.54329.4%3 W · 29 L-8.0wins-0.25per pick34cpaid-79.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x4ac3…5a50backed No18c864.13$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.331020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-44.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes33c793.75$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.869631.3%30 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No34c783.24$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.2288448.5%429 W · 455 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No65c723.15$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.7715026%39 W · 111 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea89…70ccbacked No8c720.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+72.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x289b…9511backed No15c716.58$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb44…d3d2backed Yes75c700.14$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.843470.6%24 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b0…b26bbacked Yes70c699.99$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-64.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09fe…76eebacked Yes46c647.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.478741.4%36 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82df…f5ddbacked Yes79c634.24$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No22c602.93$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1432255%177 W · 145 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ee…4b33backed Yes69c560$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.2825%2 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-65.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x15d4…6dddbacked No14c521$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.243336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No15c506.65$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6636742.5%156 W · 211 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed No31c500$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5212332.5%40 W · 83 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac3…56c9backed Yes73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f7a…5f74backed No12c496.52$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0540%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd7…9c85backed No71c496.38$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.631855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No17c489.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2926052.3%136 W · 124 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c28…fc1abacked No55c470.54$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No18c464.33$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6156314.6%82 W · 481 L-39.3wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9832…6e4dbacked No15c431.5$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.45520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…bb4abacked Yes80c427.27$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.452630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb9d…d78ebacked No21c400.53$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.695328.3%15 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No27c400$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10618628.5%53 W · 133 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bef…9080backed No3c400$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6781…8d6fbacked No21c382.55$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe004…7849backed No50c380$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718a…9603backed Yes80c374.51$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.71172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200e…4048backed No23c370.76$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe31…ea22backed Yes77c361.36$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad4f…45f2backed No15c358.39$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.06812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-79.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3513…b52fbacked Yes69c349.98$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf40…38b8backed No31c347.26$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3110652.8%56 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No19c342.51$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.081225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-42.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes76c334.02$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.351,02228%286 W · 736 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Yes73c332.88$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Yes76c331.13$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.47757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb42c…60f1backed Yes78c319.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f34…b678backed Yes77c317.65$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.111752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x784f…5df9backed Yes73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.367436.5%27 W · 47 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7491…ada0backed No26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783565.7%23 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee3…612dbacked Yes78c289.89$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.892161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d19…24ccbacked Yes79c288.55$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes34c282.22$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.495750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7167…45d2backed Yes71c273.93$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes41c268.48$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.1344428.8%128 W · 316 L-67.6wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-51.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x6961…8a80backed No35c256.2$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9070%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x540a…64c9backed Yes78c255.12$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.691464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+66.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdce3…8bd0backed No5c252.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes63c250$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.52343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No29c246.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.492157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7274…1613backed No18c245.03$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1140%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a31…9784backed No17c244.73$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd018…8ca5backed No17c239.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-56.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.