TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3513…b52f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.02
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverevbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
Naples: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Naples: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Dubrovnik: Tamara Zidansek vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Miami Open: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverevbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Miami Open: Ugo Humbert vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.98
Miami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Zverevbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.05
Miami Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.44
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$397.42
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$94.26
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$238.28
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.6
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$60.68
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.64
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$399.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$174.17
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.79
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.97
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$420.84
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.33
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$518.55
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$111.92
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$219.58
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.27
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.59
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.74
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.31
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.77
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$165.82
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$32.89
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$96
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$129
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.66
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$18
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.99
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Virginia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Vanderbilt win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.87
Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-74.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-74%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.