Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2092abdec9be15c5f72b54d0c09fe202e8ad9c87f1ea04f011f02cc33cb46b55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,364,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,364,654 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked No | 24c | 410,746$99,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,840.37 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bc…6d0bbacked Yes | 48c | 183,760$88,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,799.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 80c | 117,357$93,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,552.71 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 58c | 92,696$53,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,024.12 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 71c | 84,700$59,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,728.57 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 46c | 77,142$35,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,390.39 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 60c | 50,814$30,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,532.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…3a0abacked Yes | 74c | 37,805$28,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,770.86 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 61c | 27,958$17,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,774.79 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 64c | 26,229$16,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,522.5 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 76c | 16,465$12,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.46 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3419…d834backed No | 47c | 12,847$5,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,980.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8150…d03fbacked Yes | 80c | 12,508$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 40c | 11,915$4,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,804.44 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed No | 4c | 10,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Yes | 76c | 9,358$7,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 4c | 8,920$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.67 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 50c | 5,868$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.18 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473a…7194backed Yes | 48c | 4,500$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 40c | 4,305$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.63 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed No | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacca…08b1backed Yes | 48c | 3,940$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.52 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 47c | 3,754$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.52 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…4ae0backed Yes | 59c | 3,727$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d9…4c1abacked No | 28c | 3,540$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb7…3b83backed No | 56c | 2,844$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c3…7003backed No | 50c | 2,725$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 50c | 2,563$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.21 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6c…741fbacked Yes | 54c | 2,462$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…d3f1backed No | 45c | 2,219$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 60c | 2,149$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.88 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…ea3abacked Yes | 67c | 2,108$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.09 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…6ebfbacked Yes | 47c | 2,085$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.11 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 60c | 2,003$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5a…df23backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…ed1fbacked Yes | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…7919backed Yes | 59c | 1,917$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…7246backed No | 25c | 1,834$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.41 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab69…ccbdbacked Yes | 61c | 1,750$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81d9…60f1backed No | 58c | 1,725$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c31…d94cbacked No | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9e…cfe1backed Yes | 62c | 1,672$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.8 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked No | 19c | 1,613$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.96 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…8304backed No | 30c | 1,555$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.25 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda4a…2184backed Yes | 72c | 1,549$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…d300backed Yes | 65c | 1,517$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.09 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Yes | 55c | 1,467$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.32 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5f…6f36backed Yes | 72c | 1,332$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…cf16backed Yes | 78c | 1,278$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 5c | 1,200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…f4d4backed Yes | 54c | 1,179$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…a9efbacked Yes | 73c | 1,159$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.97 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…d114backed No | 44c | 1,147$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.06 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf521…21ccbacked Yes | 67c | 1,112$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…2a67backed Yes | 73c | 1,106$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…e1e2backed No | 21c | 1,063$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 16c | 1,052$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.27 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…c780backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…a92fbacked No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7132…f45fbacked Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb4…8d70backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 50c | 999.01$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.01 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4418…395dbacked Yes | 62c | 987.75$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…e646backed No | 41c | 983.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…571cbacked Yes | 55c | 970$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked No | 9c | 959.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…2735backed Yes | 73c | 912.48$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.37 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 51c | 899.99$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd016…a409backed Yes | 66c | 840.91$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…59dabacked No | 36c | 840.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…810dbacked Yes | 80c | 816.43$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…379bbacked Yes | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad66…e188backed No | 59c | 800$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa205…c6c6backed Yes | 54c | 799.9$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.96 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…b3d9backed Yes | 61c | 787$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e0…e3b4backed No | 19c | 745.63$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5766…dd3cbacked No | 37c | 735$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.35 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dda…6ec7backed Yes | 57c | 719.3$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.3 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x794a…de42backed Yes | 60c | 717.35$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1235…f17fbacked No | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 77c | 685.57$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5468…d6e4backed No | 9c | 658.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…76dcbacked No | 44c | 640$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.5 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 57c | 634.55$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.43 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d8…ff32backed Yes | 55c | 619.1$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.59 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959b…2d20backed Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…5d17backed No | 49c | 515.25$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.07 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…f332backed No | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed No | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9a…b2ffbacked Yes | 66c | 500$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Yes | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…c28abacked Yes | 62c | 484.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…47e5backed No | 48c | 483.79$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…9cf7backed No | 40c | 481.02$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…162cbacked Yes | 63c | 480$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 66c | 471.46$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.72 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…abb9backed No | 40c | 460$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.